PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xAfa6Cdc920149c1cDC5662683AFd3E5d03c09A51-1768570300400

0xafa6cdc920149c1cdc5662683afd3e5d03c09a51

Realised P&L
$-628.29
Volume
$28.5k
Markets traded
16
Open portfolio
$30.34

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded16
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration99.4% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample2 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration37.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will US unemployment reach at least 10.0% in 2026? · Yes0.0500.020$11.40−$16.94
Will Dogecoin reach $0.52 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.2640.019$9.69−$121.31
Will Dogecoin reach $0.48 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.3420.015$9.25−$201.44
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31? · Yes0.0800.000$0.00−$25.00
Will Bitcoin reach $115,000 in January? · Yes0.0270.000$0.00−$60.00
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 in January? · Yes0.0090.000$0.00−$100.00
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $100,000 on January 22? · Yes0.1700.000$0.00−$100.00
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in January? · Yes0.0660.000$0.00−$80.00
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 in January? · Yes0.0150.000$0.00−$40.00
Bitcoin Up or Down on January 16? · Up0.0800.000$0.00−$40.00
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $106,000 on January 22? · Yes0.0270.000$0.00−$100.00
Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in January? · Yes0.1900.000$0.00−$40.00
Bitcoin all time high by March 31, 2026? · Yes0.1400.000$0.00−$100.00
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting? · Yes0.0410.000$0.00−$100.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
03-01 05:25Will Dogecoin reach $0.48 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.3417568971$210.69
03-01 05:08Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?SELL0.996$210.68
01-22 00:21Will Dogecoin reach $0.52 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.2635766211$131.00
01-22 00:20Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?SELL0.31$131.00
01-16 14:40Will US unemployment reach at least 10.0% in 2026?BUY0.0497102066$28.34
01-16 14:22Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?BUY0.2599999972$55.00
01-16 14:21Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?BUY0.08$25.00
01-16 14:09Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?BUY0.309999998$100.00
01-16 14:08Bitcoin all time high by March 31, 2026?BUY0.1397140043$100.00
01-16 14:02Will the price of Bitcoin be above $106,000 on January 22?BUY0.0269999997$100.00
01-16 14:02Will the price of Bitcoin be above $100,000 on January 22?BUY0.1699999986$100.00
01-16 13:54Bitcoin Up or Down on January 16?BUY0.08$40.00
01-16 13:50Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 in January?BUY0.0149999996$40.00
01-16 13:49Will Bitcoin reach $115,000 in January?BUY0.0271233613$60.00
01-16 13:49Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in January?BUY0.0664422788$80.00