0xAfa6Cdc920149c1cDC5662683AFd3E5d03c09A51-1768570300400
0xafa6cdc920149c1cdc5662683afd3e5d03c09a51
- Realised P&L
- $-628.29
- Volume
- $28.5k
- Markets traded
- 16
- Open portfolio
- $30.34
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded16
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration99.4% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample2 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration37.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$155.69at 0.260Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
- +$1.00at 0.308Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03-01 05:25 | Will Dogecoin reach $0.48 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.3417568971 | $210.69 |
| 03-01 05:08 | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31? | SELL | 0.996 | $210.68 |
| 01-22 00:21 | Will Dogecoin reach $0.52 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.2635766211 | $131.00 |
| 01-22 00:20 | Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs? | SELL | 0.31 | $131.00 |
| 01-16 14:40 | Will US unemployment reach at least 10.0% in 2026? | BUY | 0.0497102066 | $28.34 |
| 01-16 14:22 | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31? | BUY | 0.2599999972 | $55.00 |
| 01-16 14:21 | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31? | BUY | 0.08 | $25.00 |
| 01-16 14:09 | Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs? | BUY | 0.309999998 | $100.00 |
| 01-16 14:08 | Bitcoin all time high by March 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1397140043 | $100.00 |
| 01-16 14:02 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $106,000 on January 22? | BUY | 0.0269999997 | $100.00 |
| 01-16 14:02 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $100,000 on January 22? | BUY | 0.1699999986 | $100.00 |
| 01-16 13:54 | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 16? | BUY | 0.08 | $40.00 |
| 01-16 13:50 | Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 in January? | BUY | 0.0149999996 | $40.00 |
| 01-16 13:49 | Will Bitcoin reach $115,000 in January? | BUY | 0.0271233613 | $60.00 |
| 01-16 13:49 | Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in January? | BUY | 0.0664422788 | $80.00 |