PolyBot

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Will UMich Consumer Sentiment be below 43.0 in September?

Tick
0.001
Min order
5
Fees
0.05 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.25 · takers only
Ends
2026-09-25
Resolves by
https://data.sca.isr.umich.edu/

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.033. down 0.027 over the period, from 0.060. Range 0.017 to 0.115. 169 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.0622626
0.0632046
0.07156102
0.11910112
0.12013124
0.14975199
0.1509208
0.684150358
0.68550408
0.737400808
0.73890898
0.74040938

Spread0.059Mid0.033

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.003105105
0.002325430
0.001137567

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.997105105
0.998325430
0.999137567

Spread0.059Mid0.968

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.9382626
0.9372046
0.92956102
0.88110112
0.88013124
0.85175199
0.8509208
0.31650258
0.31550308
0.263400708
0.26290798
0.26040838

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
youtube-traderYes110.69
Numitus1994Yes56.6
a5533Yes50
nana130299Yes40
KastellvalenYes40
notrandom2Yes25.55
HaradwaithYes20.1
ramc2005Yes20
AJSVYes16.8
0x86CA8077b2d19c4B46EF16F05992817A41fc16Be-1782535406963Yes8.67
bjproloYes8
plainfolderYes3.13
0xa5ef…2966No256.14
0x5Ff7455790cd4a08ce14eB5887E6B12279e0F7F0-1775029761019No92.51
tinman2No50
0xbafd…4898No1

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
03:29:52SELLYes0.0025$0.01
18:37:40BUYNo0.9976$5.86
18:37:39BUYNo0.99727$26.58
18:37:39BUYNo0.99722$21.71
18:37:37BUYNo0.996704942620$19.96
18:37:37BUYNo0.99640$39.84
18:36:09BUYNo0.99610$9.96
17:38:51BUYNo0.99510$9.96
17:38:49BUYNo0.9955$4.57
16:03:06BUYNo0.996164714514$13.61
16:03:06BUYNo0.9966$6.31
16:03:01BUYNo0.9961$1.00
16:02:57BUYNo0.99144417894$3.63
18:35:27SELLYes0.010$0.00
15:08:04SELLYes0.015$0.05
14:03:07BUYNo0.9287730$27.86
14:03:07BUYNo0.9486710$9.49
14:00:18BUYNo0.90999999810$8.89
14:00:16BUYNo0.909999999520$18.00
14:00:15BUYNo0.90650$45.30
00:09:45BUYNo0.920$18.00
11:55:07SELLNo0.891$0.99
19:22:28BUYNo0.921$19.00
19:22:27BUYNo0.8920$17.80
19:21:58BUYNo0.8960$53.40