0x5Ff7455790cd4a08ce14eB5887E6B12279e0F7F0-1775029761019
0x5ff7455790cd4a08ce14eb5887e6b12279e0f7f0
- Realised P&L
- $2.7k
- Volume
- $153.9k
- Markets traded
- 89
- Open portfolio
- $30.6k
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.8%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded89
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration11.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)98.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration25.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$268.82at 0.855Will Hamas agree to disarm by June 30?
- +$203.27at 0.875Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?
- +$188.18at 0.882Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30?
- +$184.05at 0.869Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?
- +$177.63at 0.574Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-16 13:05 | Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31? | BUY | 0.84 | $21.00 |
| 09-15 17:27 | Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? | BUY | 0.948 | $94.80 |
| 09-15 13:00 | Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? | BUY | 0.951 | $285.30 |
| 09-14 17:31 | Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? | BUY | 0.942 | $188.40 |
| 09-14 15:58 | Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? | BUY | 0.942 | $94.20 |
| 09-14 15:57 | Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31? | BUY | 0.86 | $860.00 |
| 09-14 15:55 | Pakistan military action against Yemen by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.93 | $46.50 |
| 09-14 15:55 | Pakistan military action against Yemen by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.968 | $14.52 |
| 09-14 15:53 | Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? | BUY | 0.942 | $117.75 |
| 09-14 15:52 | Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31? | BUY | 0.85 | $425.00 |
| 09-13 18:43 | Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? | BUY | 0.948 | $23.70 |
| 09-13 18:41 | Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? | BUY | 0.948 | $47.40 |
| 09-13 13:02 | Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? | BUY | 0.9491209879 | $94.92 |
| 09-13 08:29 | Pakistan military action against Yemen by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.968 | $19.36 |
| 09-13 05:49 | Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? | BUY | 0.952 | $95.19 |