0x5Ff7455790cd4a08ce14eB5887E6B12279e0F7F0-1775029761019
0x5ff7455790cd4a08ce14eb5887e6b12279e0f7f0
- Realised P&L
- $2.0k
- Volume
- $101.9k
- Markets traded
- 68
- Open portfolio
- $8.9k
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.9%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded68
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration11.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)96.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration30.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$268.82at 0.855Will Hamas agree to disarm by June 30?
- +$203.27at 0.875Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?
- +$188.18at 0.882Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30?
- +$177.63at 0.574Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?
- +$169.26at 0.913Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-02 20:09 | Spain snap election called by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.98 | $9.80 |
| 08-02 20:09 | Spain snap election called by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.98 | $49.00 |
| 08-02 07:48 | Hengam Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31? | BUY | 0.976 | $9.76 |
| 08-02 07:47 | Hengam Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31? | BUY | 0.967 | $38.68 |
| 08-02 07:46 | Iran invades Kuwait by August 31? | BUY | 0.975 | $97.50 |
| 08-02 07:43 | Abu Musa Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31? | BUY | 0.97 | $25.78 |
| 08-02 07:43 | Greater Tunb Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31? | BUY | 0.972 | $97.20 |
| 08-02 07:35 | Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30? | BUY | 0.94 | $94.00 |
| 08-02 07:02 | Hengam Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31? | BUY | 0.966 | $96.60 |
| 08-02 07:01 | Spain snap election called by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.98 | $24.50 |
| 08-02 06:24 | Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by July 31? | SELL | 0.999 | $499.50 |
| 08-02 06:18 | Hengam Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31? | BUY | 0.966 | $96.60 |
| 08-02 06:17 | Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31? | BUY | 0.974 | $97.40 |
| 08-02 05:58 | Spain snap election called by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.98 | $29.40 |
| 08-01 20:23 | Spain accuses Morocco of facilitating Ceuta migrant wave by August 31? | SELL | 0.8 | $400.00 |