DiaMat
0x5ff7455790cd4a08ce14eb5887e6b12279e0f7f0
- Realised P&L
- $7.3k
- Volume
- $441.5k
- Markets traded
- 151
- Open portfolio
- $83.6k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.6%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded151
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration46.7% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)88.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration21.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$5.9kat 0.744NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?
- +$1.9kat 0.906Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?
- +$835.80at 0.957Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?
- +$698.07at 0.919Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?
- +$623.59at 0.833Russia military action against an EU country by December 31, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 20:16 | Will Iran target Oman by November 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.89 | $81.72 |
| 11-01 20:15 | Will Iran target Oman by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.83 | $33.20 |
| 11-01 20:15 | Will Iran target Oman by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.81 | $81.00 |
| 11-01 20:15 | Will Iran target Oman by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.8 | $50.40 |
| 11-01 18:29 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 2, 2026? | BUY | 0.967 | $114.52 |
| 11-01 18:28 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 2, 2026? | BUY | 0.965 | $409.05 |
| 11-01 18:28 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 2, 2026? | BUY | 0.964 | $55.60 |
| 11-01 18:27 | NATO x Russia military clash by November 15, 2026? | SELL | 0.983 | $196.60 |
| 11-01 14:56 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 2, 2026? | BUY | 0.967 | $483.50 |
| 11-01 07:25 | Will PSOE win the most seats in Barcelona in the 2026 Spanish general election? | SELL | 0.977 | $3.42 |
| 11-01 07:24 | Will PSOE win the most seats in Barcelona in the 2026 Spanish general election? | SELL | 0.978 | $4.21 |
| 10-31 21:30 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 2, 2026? | BUY | 0.93 | $1.9k |
| 10-31 21:30 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 2, 2026? | BUY | 0.93 | $1.6k |
| 10-31 21:28 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 2, 2026? | BUY | 0.92 | $1.1k |
| 10-31 21:13 | NATO x Russia military clash by November 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.963 | $2.6k |