PolyBot

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Will Trump's approval rating hit 34% in 2026?

Tick
0.01
Min order
5
Fees
0.04 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.00 · takers only
Ends
2027-01-01
Resolves by
https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.17. Unchanged over the period, from 0.17. Range 0.17 to 0.18. 149 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.2099
0.213039
0.221,0311,070
0.231071,177
0.2951,182
0.355071,689
0.594832,172
0.8452,177
0.85202,197
0.86402,237
0.88502,287
0.8992,296

Spread0.06Mid0.17

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.1455
0.131015
0.121025
0.07530
0.063363
0.0540103
0.03141245
0.0261306
0.0170375

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.8655
0.871015
0.881025
0.93530
0.943363
0.9540103
0.97141245
0.9861306
0.9970375

Spread0.06Mid0.83

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.8099
0.793039
0.781,0311,070
0.771071,177
0.7151,182
0.655071,689
0.414832,172
0.1652,177
0.15202,197
0.14402,237
0.12502,287
0.1192,296

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
gatschmahalaYes455.62
RadioCCODYes392
LocchioDiBenficaYes100
0xBB0880974B38A31f0F0D00ee0179de69417a639C-1782811062499Yes71.43
lacuna-m1Yes60
prophetOfTirisfalYes35.71
0nk0nf0rm0dYes29.99
mw97Yes8.57
ogi250Yes8
smidiaYes4.2
DerDonNo468.84
MrMarketNo326.99
gesstNo200
johnyjoNo80
xtxpleasecallmeNo49.66
coypuNo34.99
toshinyannyanNo5

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
17:12:52BUYYes0.2170$14.70
03:58:35BUYNo0.865$4.30
03:55:31BUYYes0.2230$6.60
09:39:15BUYYes0.2194828981456$100.00
14:00:17SELLYes0.10520$2.10
19:48:36BUYYes0.16200$32.00
19:47:45BUYYes0.15187$28.05
10:05:38BUYYes0.1520$3.00
00:52:21SELLNo0.8613$11.05
17:55:30BUYYes0.139999998936$5.00
09:32:05BUYYes0.139999998971$10.00
20:53:49BUYYes0.1560$9.00
21:10:30BUYNo0.7630$22.79
21:28:11BUYYes0.199$1.63
20:26:11BUYYes0.189999997426$5.02