PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

smidia

0x682145230b8fdecc3de69a7e536b0f575bbb0665

Realised P&L
$582.15
Volume
$74.5k
Markets traded
1,455
Open portfolio
$119.77

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded1,455
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration28.6% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)54.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration7.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Tukums 2000 keep the most clean sheets in the 2026 Virslīga (Latvia)? · Yes0.0100.425$7.49+$7.32
Will Oxford United FC vs. Reading FC end in a draw? · Yes0.0300.655$6.55+$6.25
Will BFC Daugavpils keep the most clean sheets in the 2026 Virslīga (Latvia)? · Yes0.0100.355$6.26+$6.08
Will FK Liepāja keep the most clean sheets in the 2026 Virslīga (Latvia)? · Yes0.0100.355$6.26+$6.08
Will FS Jelgava keep the most clean sheets in the 2026 Virslīga (Latvia)? · Yes0.0100.345$6.08+$5.91
Will SK Super Nova keep the most clean sheets in the 2026 Virslīga (Latvia)? · Yes0.0100.325$5.73+$5.55
Will Helsingborgs IF be runner-up in the 2026 Superettan (Sweden)? · Yes0.0100.220$5.54+$5.29
Will United Russia win the next Leningrad Oblast Parliament elections? · No0.0030.011$5.16+$3.73
Will Ogre United keep the most clean sheets in the 2026 Virslīga (Latvia)? · Yes0.0100.290$5.11+$4.94
Will Grobiņas SC keep the most clean sheets in the 2026 Virslīga (Latvia)? · Yes0.0100.275$4.85+$4.67
Will the Saitama Seibu Lions win the 2026 Japan Series? · Yes0.0170.325$4.00+$3.80
Will Nõmme United finish 3rd in the 2026 Premium Liiga (Estonia)? · Yes0.0200.434$3.83+$3.65
Will Eva Lindberg be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Gävleborg? · No0.0640.231$3.75+$2.71
Will Pärnu JK Vaprus finish 3rd in the 2026 Premium Liiga (Estonia)? · Yes0.0200.406$3.58+$3.40
Will SC Telstar be runner-up in the 2026-27 Eredivisie? · Yes0.0010.033$2.70+$2.61

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-20 13:46Will OpenAI be the second-best AI Agent Lab at the end of October 2026?SELL0.12$0.89
09-20 07:50Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 TX-34 House election by 9%-12%?SELL0.136$0.95
09-19 04:51Will CZ post 20-39 posts from September 15 to September 22, 2026?SELL0.11$0.33
09-19 04:51Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $84,000 on September 23?SELL0.121$0.12
09-18 13:25Will Hapoel Tel Aviv FC win on 2026-09-18?SELL0.029$0.14
09-17 20:47Will Marjorie Taylor Greene be the first listed Republican to announce a run for President in 2028?SELL0.005$0.10
09-17 16:24Will Salles win the most votes in the 2026 São Paulo Senate election?SELL0.005$0.03
09-17 16:24Will André do Prado win the most votes in the 2026 São Paulo Senate election?SELL0.005$0.07
09-17 16:24Will hate that i made you love me (Ariana Grande) win Song of the Year at the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards?SELL0.004$0.02
09-16 05:51Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 WY-AL House election by 20%-25%?SELL0.075$1.20
09-15 05:57Brooklyn FC to score first vs. Indy Eleven?SELL0.31$0.48
09-14 20:37Will Đorđe Petrović (Bournemouth) record the most clean sheets in the 2026-27 Premier League season?SELL0.003$0.03
09-14 20:37Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 AL-04 House election by 0%-35%?SELL0.003$0.02
09-14 18:46Will Hapoel Tel Aviv FC vs. Hapoel Petah Tikva FC end in a draw?SELL0.8$0.98
09-13 22:54Will André do Prado win the most votes in the 2026 São Paulo Senate election?SELL0.007$0.02