smidia
0x682145230b8fdecc3de69a7e536b0f575bbb0665
- Realised P&L
- $582.15
- Volume
- $74.5k
- Markets traded
- 1,455
- Open portfolio
- $119.77
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,455
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration28.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)54.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration7.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$144.48at 0.023Exact Score: LKP Motor Lublin 3 - 0 Legia Warszawa?
- +$71.72at 0.018Will fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between August 3-August 9?
- +$41.15at 0.031Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $74,000 on August 24?
- +$17.78at 0.013Will the lowest temperature in Amsterdam be 14°C on August 22?
- +$15.75at 0.010Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between August 3-August 9?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-20 13:46 | Will OpenAI be the second-best AI Agent Lab at the end of October 2026? | SELL | 0.12 | $0.89 |
| 09-20 07:50 | Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 TX-34 House election by 9%-12%? | SELL | 0.136 | $0.95 |
| 09-19 04:51 | Will CZ post 20-39 posts from September 15 to September 22, 2026? | SELL | 0.11 | $0.33 |
| 09-19 04:51 | Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $84,000 on September 23? | SELL | 0.121 | $0.12 |
| 09-18 13:25 | Will Hapoel Tel Aviv FC win on 2026-09-18? | SELL | 0.029 | $0.14 |
| 09-17 20:47 | Will Marjorie Taylor Greene be the first listed Republican to announce a run for President in 2028? | SELL | 0.005 | $0.10 |
| 09-17 16:24 | Will Salles win the most votes in the 2026 São Paulo Senate election? | SELL | 0.005 | $0.03 |
| 09-17 16:24 | Will André do Prado win the most votes in the 2026 São Paulo Senate election? | SELL | 0.005 | $0.07 |
| 09-17 16:24 | Will hate that i made you love me (Ariana Grande) win Song of the Year at the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards? | SELL | 0.004 | $0.02 |
| 09-16 05:51 | Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 WY-AL House election by 20%-25%? | SELL | 0.075 | $1.20 |
| 09-15 05:57 | Brooklyn FC to score first vs. Indy Eleven? | SELL | 0.31 | $0.48 |
| 09-14 20:37 | Will Đorđe Petrović (Bournemouth) record the most clean sheets in the 2026-27 Premier League season? | SELL | 0.003 | $0.03 |
| 09-14 20:37 | Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 AL-04 House election by 0%-35%? | SELL | 0.003 | $0.02 |
| 09-14 18:46 | Will Hapoel Tel Aviv FC vs. Hapoel Petah Tikva FC end in a draw? | SELL | 0.8 | $0.98 |
| 09-13 22:54 | Will André do Prado win the most votes in the 2026 São Paulo Senate election? | SELL | 0.007 | $0.02 |