Will there be more than 5 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?

Tick: 0.001
Min order: 5
Fees: 0.05 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.25 · takers only
Ends: 2026-10-12
Resolves by: https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/

Price history

charttable

Yes. Currently 0.005. down 0.495 over the period, from 0.500. Range 0.004 to 0.500. 156 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live

Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.008	328	328
0.009	14	342
0.010	12	354
0.011	24	379
0.012	37	416
0.016	16	432
0.020	8	440
0.040	400	840
0.068	8	848
0.085	30	878
0.099	5	883
0.144	30	913

Spread0.007Mid0.005

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.001	119	119

No

Live

No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.999	119	119

Spread0.007Mid0.996

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.992	328	328
0.991	14	342
0.990	12	354
0.989	24	379
0.988	37	416
0.984	16	432
0.980	8	440
0.960	400	840
0.932	8	848
0.915	30	878
0.901	5	883
0.856	30	913

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
Holder	Outcome	Shares
flexer78	Yes	328.33
AJSV	Yes	102.05
e46m3	Yes	52.03
0xC1471e5e80f7c5149f5D29bcf7-0717159345256	Yes	31.18
jackli003	Yes	20
balthazar	Yes	20
TENETENET	Yes	10
bjprolo	Yes	10
0xA05C4259e96B0aE00FeAa737214bF8Bf4e8b6f9F-1731150808149	Yes	6
haouibao	Yes	5
triklozoid	Yes	5
yescat	No	333.33
0xa5ef…2966	No	123.24
0xF4fE4AeeA49C54aA73Ec946ab2Eebd02eE42F6E7-1757776368556	No	51.02
subject1	No	37
Arbitruum	No	25
LastChancce	No	10
dogcrypto	No	10

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
Time	Side	Outcome	Price	Size	Value
19:15:48	SELL	Yes	0.001	0	$0.00
14:18:17	BUY	No	0.999	37	$36.96
09:23:27	BUY	Yes	0.009	5	$0.04
08:04:24	BUY	No	0.999	25	$24.98
03:49:17	BUY	No	0.997	333	$332.33
20:32:16	BUY	No	0.999	10	$9.99
13:07:46	BUY	No	0.99	10	$9.90
07:32:50	BUY	Yes	0.02	51	$1.02
19:42:53	BUY	No	0.989	51	$50.47