PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

yescat

0x54b15905d757bf15d7704122638364837cd620f7

Realised P&L
$292.10
Volume
$40.6k
Markets traded
165
Open portfolio
$1.1k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded165
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration23.8% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)98.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration46.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Xi Jinping out before 2027? · No0.9510.974$499.79+$11.55
Will there be more than 5 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide? · No0.9970.996$331.83−$0.50
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? · No0.9690.968$96.75−$0.15
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by October 31? · No0.9900.987$88.83−$0.27
Will a 6.5+ earthquake occur worldwide by October 31? · Yes0.9000.890$36.57−$0.41
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? · Yes0.5700.185$33.30−$69.30

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-07 03:52Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?BUY0.969$96.90
10-07 03:49Will there be more than 5 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?BUY0.997$332.33
10-07 03:48Will a 6.5+ earthquake occur worldwide by October 31?BUY0.9$36.98
09-09 13:05Ethereum all time high by September 30, 2026?BUY0.995$127.33
09-09 13:05Bitcoin all time high by September 30, 2026?BUY0.994$99.39
08-25 09:31Trump out as President by August 31?BUY0.997$104.69
08-25 09:13XRP all time high by September 30, 2026?BUY0.9787152695$123.64
08-25 09:11Bitcoin all time high by September 30, 2026?BUY0.9801859$196.04
08-25 09:04Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?BUY0.33$33.00
08-06 10:12Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in August?BUY0.996$99.60
08-06 10:12Will the Netherlands send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by August 31, 2026?BUY0.942$19.78
07-22 12:17Xi Jinping out before 2027?BUY0.951$488.23
07-22 12:16Trump out as President by July 31?BUY0.995$274.36
07-22 12:02Trump out as President by July 31?BUY0.995$199.00
07-20 11:39Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on July 20?BUY0.999$19.98