yescat
0x54b15905d757bf15d7704122638364837cd620f7
- Realised P&L
- $292.10
- Volume
- $40.6k
- Markets traded
- 165
- Open portfolio
- $1.1k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded165
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration23.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)98.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration46.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Xi Jinping out before 2027? · No | 0.951 | 0.974 | $499.79 | +$11.55 |
| Will there be more than 5 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide? · No | 0.997 | 0.996 | $331.83 | −$0.50 |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.969 | 0.968 | $96.75 | −$0.15 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by October 31? · No | 0.990 | 0.987 | $88.83 | −$0.27 |
| Will a 6.5+ earthquake occur worldwide by October 31? · Yes | 0.900 | 0.890 | $36.57 | −$0.41 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? · Yes | 0.570 | 0.185 | $33.30 | −$69.30 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$226.80at 0.580Lightning vs. Canadiens
- +$55.00at 0.750Will Trump talk to Vladimir Putin in November?
- +$22.00at 0.890Will no country replace Iran in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$20.54at 0.805Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in China?
- +$12.50at 0.470Netanyahu out by end of 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-07 03:52 | Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.969 | $96.90 |
| 10-07 03:49 | Will there be more than 5 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide? | BUY | 0.997 | $332.33 |
| 10-07 03:48 | Will a 6.5+ earthquake occur worldwide by October 31? | BUY | 0.9 | $36.98 |
| 09-09 13:05 | Ethereum all time high by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.995 | $127.33 |
| 09-09 13:05 | Bitcoin all time high by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.994 | $99.39 |
| 08-25 09:31 | Trump out as President by August 31? | BUY | 0.997 | $104.69 |
| 08-25 09:13 | XRP all time high by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.9787152695 | $123.64 |
| 08-25 09:11 | Bitcoin all time high by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.9801859 | $196.04 |
| 08-25 09:04 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | BUY | 0.33 | $33.00 |
| 08-06 10:12 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in August? | BUY | 0.996 | $99.60 |
| 08-06 10:12 | Will the Netherlands send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.942 | $19.78 |
| 07-22 12:17 | Xi Jinping out before 2027? | BUY | 0.951 | $488.23 |
| 07-22 12:16 | Trump out as President by July 31? | BUY | 0.995 | $274.36 |
| 07-22 12:02 | Trump out as President by July 31? | BUY | 0.995 | $199.00 |
| 07-20 11:39 | Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on July 20? | BUY | 0.999 | $19.98 |