dogcrypto
0x5d06ee7b42c77f076b39aa603b2247326db97821
- Realised P&L
- $272.18
- Volume
- $51.8k
- Markets traded
- 241
- Open portfolio
- $1.4k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded241
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration10.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)94.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration56.8% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $8,000 by end of December? · No | 0.970 | 0.979 | $824.07 | +$7.58 |
| Iran invades Kuwait by October 31? · No | 0.993 | 0.992 | $198.40 | −$0.20 |
| Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $7,000 by end of December? · No | 0.970 | 0.972 | $105.95 | +$0.22 |
| Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? · No | 0.940 | 0.963 | $96.25 | +$2.25 |
| Will Xi meet with Takaichi by October 31, 2026? · No | 0.988 | 0.982 | $60.88 | −$0.37 |
| Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027? · No | 0.957 | 0.954 | $47.67 | −$0.17 |
| Xi meets with Lee Jae-Myung by October 31? · No | 0.960 | 0.963 | $38.52 | +$0.12 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in October? · No | 0.986 | 0.994 | $29.82 | +$0.24 |
| Xi meets with Lee Jae-Myung by December 31? · Yes | 0.946 | 0.945 | $28.35 | −$0.03 |
| Will there be more than 5 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide? · No | 0.990 | 0.996 | $9.96 | +$0.06 |
| Will there be 5 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide? · No | 0.990 | 0.987 | $9.87 | −$0.04 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$102.50at 0.590Will Paris Saint-Germain win the UEFA Champions League?
- +$22.12at 0.450Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
- +$11.02at 0.969Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 15°C on May 27?
- +$10.12at 0.988Xi Jinping out in 2025?
- +$9.00at 0.666Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-07 02:42 | Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $7,000 by end of December? | BUY | 0.97 | $105.73 |
| 10-07 02:41 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in October? | BUY | 0.986 | $29.58 |
| 10-04 13:09 | Will Xi meet with Takaichi by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.9879735484 | $61.25 |
| 10-04 13:09 | Xi meets with Lee Jae-Myung by December 31? | BUY | 0.946 | $28.38 |
| 10-04 13:09 | Xi meets with Lee Jae-Myung by October 31? | BUY | 0.96 | $19.20 |
| 10-04 13:08 | Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027? | BUY | 0.957 | $47.85 |
| 10-04 13:07 | Will there be 5 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide? | BUY | 0.99 | $9.90 |
| 10-04 13:07 | Will there be more than 5 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide? | BUY | 0.99 | $9.90 |
| 10-04 13:07 | Iran invades Kuwait by October 31? | BUY | 0.993 | $198.60 |
| 09-24 02:06 | Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $8,000 by end of December? | BUY | 0.97 | $283.00 |
| 09-24 02:05 | Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $8,000 by end of December? | BUY | 0.97 | $533.50 |
| 09-24 01:59 | Will XRP dip to $1.00 in September? | BUY | 0.986 | $19.72 |
| 09-10 08:00 | Abu Musa Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30? | BUY | 0.985 | $39.40 |
| 09-10 07:55 | Will XRP reach $3.00 in September? | BUY | 0.991 | $49.55 |
| 09-08 13:17 | Abu Musa Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30? | BUY | 0.987 | $39.48 |