PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

subject1

0x687aa12ee4b93787894e6b8f18de9f7c71b1c174

Realised P&L
$6.14
Volume
$1.4k
Markets traded
28
Open portfolio
$36.83

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded28
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration94.3% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample29 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)96.6%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will there be more than 5 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide? · No0.9990.996$36.83−$0.13

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-08 14:18Will there be more than 5 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?BUY0.999$36.96
09-09 09:10Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by September 9?BUY0.993$28.80
08-18 02:42Will there be more than 5 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from August 17 - August 23?BUY0.997$23.93
07-08 06:19GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026?BUY0.998$76.85
06-28 06:10Will Netflix (NFLX) close above $140 end of June?BUY0.999$80.92
06-07 13:41Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?BUY0.999$63.94
05-28 06:33Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?BUY0.999$42.96
05-15 09:41Netanyahu out by May 31?BUY0.992$39.68
05-05 10:31Will there be exactly 5 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from May 4 - 10?BUY0.999$65.93
04-19 02:24Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from April 18 to April 20, 2026?BUY0.999$122.86
03-24 01:57Kraken IPO by March 31, 2026?BUY0.999$156.84
03-06 08:57Will Iran strike Bahrain in March?BUY0.996$104.96
03-06 08:54Will ChatGPT be back in as the #1 Free App in the US Apple Store by March 5?BUY0.999$126.33
02-20 07:07Will GTA 6 cost $100+?BUY0.996$65.00
02-02 06:50Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,800 on February 2?BUY0.999$0.93