LastChancce
0x0d50b468aec7f8c470aeca9fd689c94a01500ff6
- Realised P&L
- $184.51
- Volume
- $51.8k
- Markets traded
- 159
- Open portfolio
- $9.96
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded159
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration9.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will there be more than 5 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide? · No | 0.999 | 0.996 | $9.96 | −$0.04 |
| Will Solana reach $300 in November? · Yes | 0.001 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$103.22at 0.841EdgeX FDV above $3B one day after launch?
- +$20.36at 0.939MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?
- +$14.19at 0.945Trove FDV above $5M one day after launch?
- +$3.79at 0.991Will Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026?
- +$1.85at 0.999Will the price of Ethereum be less than $2,500 on January 2?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-04 20:32 | Will there be more than 5 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide? | BUY | 0.999 | $9.99 |
| 08-24 18:13 | Will Elon Musk post 20-39 tweets in October 2026? | BUY | 0.998 | $79.84 |
| 08-14 13:00 | Will CZ post 200+ posts from August 14 to August 21, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $99.90 |
| 08-14 12:59 | Will Solana dip to $10 in August? | BUY | 0.999 | $99.90 |
| 08-05 17:02 | Will CZ post 200+ posts from August 7 to August 14, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $199.80 |
| 07-28 18:26 | Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $99.90 |
| 07-21 19:05 | Will CZ post 200+ posts from July 24 to July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $219.78 |
| 07-19 18:36 | Will NYC Mayor post 200+ posts from July 21 to July 28, 2026? | BUY | 0.998 | $69.86 |
| 07-19 15:45 | Will CZ post 200+ posts from July 21 to July 28, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $257.73 |
| 07-14 16:56 | Will White House post 20-39 posts from July 17 to July 24, 2026? | BUY | 0.997 | $82.75 |
| 07-14 16:55 | Will Zelenskyy post 200+ posts from July 17 to July 24, 2026? | BUY | 0.997 | $99.70 |
| 07-14 16:54 | Will Zelenskyy post 0-19 posts from July 17 to July 24, 2026? | BUY | 0.998 | $99.80 |
| 07-14 16:51 | Will Ted Cruz post 0-19 posts from July 17 to July 24, 2026? | BUY | 0.996 | $99.60 |
| 07-12 19:23 | Will Zelenskyy post 200+ posts from July 14 to July 21, 2026? | BUY | 0.997 | $99.50 |
| 07-12 19:22 | Will CZ post 180-199 posts from July 14 to July 21, 2026? | BUY | 0.998 | $74.53 |