PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Will there be between 17 and 19 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?

Tick
0.01
Min order
5
Fees
None on this market
Ends
2026-12-31

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.29. up 0.03 over the period, from 0.27. Range 0.25 to 0.34. 167 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.325050
0.334191
0.3446137
0.3530167
0.3630197
0.37128325
0.3894419
0.3913432
0.4149481
0.4272553
0.4544597
0.49150747

Spread0.05Mid0.30

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.27415415
0.267422
0.245427
0.2152479
0.2048528
0.1820548
0.1740588
0.1659647
0.1576723
0.1495818
0.1391908
0.114031,311

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.73415415
0.747422
0.765427
0.7952479
0.8048528
0.8220548
0.8340588
0.8459647
0.8576723
0.8695818
0.8791908
0.894031,311

Spread0.05Mid0.71

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.685050
0.674191
0.6646137
0.6530167
0.6430197
0.63128325
0.6294419
0.6113432
0.5949481
0.5872553
0.5544597
0.51150747

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
DEGENKHANYes10,658.35
0x4e25…d7a7Yes4,023.83
Snow-WhiteYes3,350.55
gopfan2Yes2,879.59
inventiveYes1,267.79
ibuycultureYes364.29
DoomPosting-EnjoyerYes350
donthackmeYes202.97
hetaczYes200
FlashTradeOracleYes200
0x06d898dd11C4c1ffcA1F91c2c47f6E379b4C9446-1776245316934Yes160
wozaitaibeiYes150
qWOprt7Yes133.33
Sinyor123Yes128.19
RazirbackYes120.81
Hugo459440Yes120
animal.beanYes95
MartySupreme123Yes77.33
AbladollosacYes76.92
0x7c2763161E569e34432C2eEFF1A73d306FAe6e68-1770366654818Yes76.92

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
07:22:50BUYNo0.7299999843$2.28
23:19:23SELLYes0.2721$5.77
16:41:06SELLYes0.285$1.40
22:03:35SELLNo0.741$0.61
21:09:10BUYYes0.265$1.30
21:09:08BUYNo0.7511$8.61
10:08:02BUYYes0.315$1.55
09:32:04BUYNo0.671$0.56
07:40:52BUYNo0.685$3.40
07:38:33SELLNo0.6478820$12.96
12:01:30BUYYes0.30164206433$10.00
05:26:57SELLYes0.2726$7.02
05:26:25SELLYes0.285$1.41
03:41:13BUYNo0.6816$10.88
03:28:01BUYNo0.6816$10.88
08:21:10BUYNo0.679999980712$8.45
16:22:24SELLNo0.724$3.00
15:09:13BUYYes0.27999985644$1.17
14:57:33BUYYes0.225419447122$5.00
16:38:41SELLYes0.169$1.45
22:40:59SELLYes0.2235$7.70
19:36:16BUYYes0.2230$6.52
22:38:43BUYYes0.28$1.55
09:32:25SELLYes0.195$0.95
17:22:14SELLYes0.174$0.74