PolyBot

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Will there be between 17 and 19 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?

Tick
0.01
Min order
5
Fees
None on this market
Ends
2027-01-01

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.21. down 0.07 over the period, from 0.29. Range 0.21 to 0.32. 169 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.228787
0.261198
0.2710108
0.3057165
0.3225190
0.336196
0.3491287
0.3530317
0.365322
0.3760382
0.4395477
0.4417494

Spread0.01Mid0.21

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.21257257
0.2010267
0.19128395
0.18314709
0.1786795
0.16109904
0.152191,123
0.13961,218
0.1151,223
0.10301,253
0.05401,293
0.031201,413

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.79257257
0.8010267
0.81128395
0.82314709
0.8386795
0.84109904
0.852191,123
0.87961,218
0.8951,223
0.90301,253
0.95401,293
0.971201,413

Spread0.01Mid0.79

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.788787
0.741198
0.7310108
0.7057165
0.6825190
0.676196
0.6691287
0.6530317
0.645322
0.6360382
0.5795477
0.5617494

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
DEGENKHANYes10,273.06
0x4e25…d7a7Yes4,023.83
Snow-WhiteYes3,350.55
gopfan2Yes2,879.59
inventiveYes1,267.79
ibuycultureYes364.29
DoomPosting-EnjoyerYes350
Elias.ThornwellYes333.25
hetaczYes200
FlashTradeOracleYes200
donthackmeYes196.26
0x06d898dd11C4c1ffcA1F91c2c47f6E379b4C9446-1776245316934Yes160
wozaitaibeiYes150
qWOprt7Yes133.33
Sinyor123Yes128.19
RazirbackYes120.81
Hugo459440Yes120
animal.beanYes95
a5533Yes77.88
MartySupreme123Yes77.33

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
18:58:57BUYYes0.227$1.57
15:27:30BUYYes0.265$1.30
15:26:37BUYYes0.265$1.30
15:24:09BUYYes0.265$1.30
23:32:28SELLYes0.241$0.18
03:27:45SELLYes0.221$0.22
01:44:16SELLYes0.2320$4.60
23:17:06BUYNo0.7621$15.83
21:14:25SELLYes0.296$1.60
17:43:18SELLYes0.2819409938129$36.31
13:23:07BUYNo0.71999994241$1.00
07:41:30BUYYes0.329$2.83
07:18:03SELLNo0.7451$315.76
07:16:07SELLYes0.2849$13.69
07:10:40SELLNo0.72,950$2065.00
06:55:24SELLYes0.294,500$1305.00
06:53:21SELLYes0.285,000$1400.00
06:46:06SELLNo0.75,500$3850.00
06:43:19SELLNo0.71,050$735.00
06:39:58SELLNo0.74,050$2835.00
06:37:21SELLNo0.73,400$2380.00
03:21:27BUYNo0.713,500$2485.00
02:52:09SELLYes0.2801254,000$1120.50
02:46:00SELLYes0.283,500$980.00
02:38:43SELLYes0.289,500$2660.00