inventive
0x7de7cbeba7e2ea14c6445be39d4d46a3cf14a9c8
- Realised P&L
- $8.28
- Volume
- $190.3k
- Markets traded
- 51
- Open portfolio
- $61.9k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded51
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration26.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample24 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)75.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration10.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.8kat 0.394Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?
- +$3.5kat 0.650Starmer out by May 15, 2026?
- +$1.6kat 0.770US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?
- +$1.3kat 0.740Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day in March?
- +$1.3kat 0.615Will annual inflation increase by ≥3.4% in March?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-11 21:15 | Starmer out by May 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.65 | $1.4k |
| 04-13 21:09 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.77 | $230.82 |
| 04-08 02:10 | Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15? | SELL | 0.348 | $20.18 |
| 04-06 20:07 | Will 2026 be the hottest year on record? | BUY | 0.67 | $22.79 |
| 04-04 23:45 | Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to no prison time? | BUY | 0.25 | $160.42 |
| 04-04 23:39 | Will US withdraw from NATO by April 30? | BUY | 0.01 | $10.00 |
| 04-02 04:47 | Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to no prison time? | BUY | 0.36 | $41.48 |
| 03-27 03:57 | Will 2026 be the hottest year on record? | BUY | 0.77 | $2.6k |
| 03-27 03:55 | Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs? | BUY | 0.42 | $1.5k |
| 03-27 03:55 | Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs? | BUY | 0.41 | $206.64 |
| 03-27 03:55 | Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs? | BUY | 0.3970968902 | $618.29 |
| 03-27 03:53 | Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to no prison time? | BUY | 0.33 | $146.52 |
| 03-27 03:34 | Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15? | BUY | 0.5 | $274.32 |
| 03-27 03:34 | Will Trump recognize Somaliland before 2027? | BUY | 0.78789671 | $1.6k |
| 03-27 03:32 | Will Trump recognize Somaliland before 2027? | BUY | 0.77 | $27.72 |