PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

inventive

0x7de7cbeba7e2ea14c6445be39d4d46a3cf14a9c8

Realised P&L
$8.28
Volume
$190.3k
Markets traded
51
Open portfolio
$61.9k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded51
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration26.0% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
CautionSettled sample24 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)75.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration10.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Trump recognize Somaliland before 2027? · No0.7750.921$6.5k+$1.0k
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? · No0.8300.940$5.6k+$660.00
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? · No0.8930.961$4.8k+$338.03
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? · No0.8630.957$4.8k+$468.30
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? · No0.8500.945$4.7k+$474.81
Will 2026 be the hottest year on record? · No0.7350.495$4.7k$2.3k
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? · No0.7700.905$4.5k+$675.00
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027? · No0.7700.875$4.4k+$525.00
Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026? · No0.8700.978$3.5k+$386.25
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? · No0.6650.675$3.1k+$45.13
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? · No0.9130.963$2.9k+$148.50
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to no prison time? · Yes0.2910.345$2.9k+$443.34
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? · No0.5200.555$2.8k+$175.00
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · No0.8500.493$1.5k$1.1k
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? · No0.8660.175$1.2k$4.8k

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
05-11 21:15Starmer out by May 15, 2026?BUY0.65$1.4k
04-13 21:09US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?BUY0.77$230.82
04-08 02:10Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?SELL0.348$20.18
04-06 20:07Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?BUY0.67$22.79
04-04 23:45Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to no prison time?BUY0.25$160.42
04-04 23:39Will US withdraw from NATO by April 30?BUY0.01$10.00
04-02 04:47Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to no prison time?BUY0.36$41.48
03-27 03:57Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?BUY0.77$2.6k
03-27 03:55Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?BUY0.42$1.5k
03-27 03:55Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?BUY0.41$206.64
03-27 03:55Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?BUY0.3970968902$618.29
03-27 03:53Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to no prison time?BUY0.33$146.52
03-27 03:34Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?BUY0.5$274.32
03-27 03:34Will Trump recognize Somaliland before 2027?BUY0.78789671$1.6k
03-27 03:32Will Trump recognize Somaliland before 2027?BUY0.77$27.72