PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Will there be between 11 and 13 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?

Tick
0.01
Min order
5
Fees
None on this market
Ends
2026-12-31

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.17. down 0.03 over the period, from 0.20. Range 0.17 to 0.20. 155 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.192727
0.20118145
0.215150
0.22136286
0.231,4611,747
0.24301,777
0.25451,821
0.26621,883
0.29671,950
0.33952,045
0.34622,107
0.371002,207

Spread0.03Mid0.17

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.16112112
0.1536148
0.1421169
0.1380249
0.1244293
0.1175368
0.10187555
0.09110665
0.08274939
0.073201,259
0.067992,058
0.0562,063

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.84112112
0.8536148
0.8621169
0.8780249
0.8844293
0.8975368
0.90187555
0.91110665
0.92274939
0.933201,259
0.947992,058
0.9562,063

Spread0.03Mid0.82

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.812727
0.80118145
0.795150
0.78136286
0.771,4611,747
0.76301,777
0.75451,821
0.74621,883
0.71671,950
0.67952,045
0.66622,107
0.631002,207

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
gopfan2Yes9,931.55
Snow-WhiteYes4,977.06
0x8712Yes2,823.95
0x4e25…d7a7Yes2,247.3
fakefinnYes1,185.11
HechuanYes958.46
TH12Yes288.36
hetaczYes200
FlashTradeOracleYes200
0x06d898dd11C4c1ffcA1F91c2c47f6E379b4C9446-1776245316934Yes160
wozaitaibeiYes150
FniiiYes143.82
BikesarethebestYes122.33
treadmill4727Yes106.65
animal.beanYes100
90dayseYes95
RazirbackYes93.49
GennedyYes87.86
AceUngartYes85.76
MasterGu1996Yes81.64

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
19:46:05BUYYes0.1912$2.28
15:58:26BUYNo0.835$4.15
14:42:35BUYYes0.18999987845$1.00
07:52:57BUYYes0.1910$1.90
04:03:41BUYYes0.18999985935$1.04
22:36:20BUYYes0.1915$2.85
22:31:15BUYYes0.18999989497$1.32
14:45:59BUYYes0.1810$1.80
14:45:59BUYNo0.825$4.10
03:06:09BUYYes0.25$1.00
22:52:59BUYYes0.1913$2.47
22:52:35BUYYes0.1913$2.47
22:51:36BUYNo0.815$4.05
21:10:04BUYYes0.25$1.00
21:09:08BUYNo0.809999984311$9.30
18:28:02SELLNo0.781$0.88
17:24:40BUYYes0.21999998545$10.00
10:05:19BUYYes0.214$2.80
09:41:17BUYYes0.197356828234$6.72
09:40:25SELLYes0.225$5.00
09:31:25SELLYes0.216$1.34
07:42:04SELLYes0.1142$4.64
07:41:13BUYNo0.88999993891$1.02
07:38:34SELLYes0.111816666760$6.71
07:38:33BUYNo0.8928$25.20