PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

Hechuan

0x659c970982ac1b464fc419694b10c052b22ca086

Realised P&L
$-1.8k
Volume
$105.1k
Markets traded
408
Open portfolio
$4.4k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded408
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration8.4% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)76.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration22.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? · No0.8400.940$971.66+$102.98
US recession by end of 2026? · No0.8100.925$533.10+$66.01
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? · No0.8820.915$457.50+$16.50
Will Trump speak to Kim Jong Un in July? · No0.9780.996$285.30+$4.98
US x China tariff agreement by December 31? · Yes0.7670.888$266.40+$36.40
Will Trump and Putin meet next in China? · No0.8680.855$217.22$3.27
Will India strike Pakistan by December 31, 2026? · No0.7400.825$214.50+$22.10
9.0 or above earthquake before 2027? · No0.9390.931$186.30$1.60
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027? · No0.8200.855$171.00+$7.00
Will there be between 11 and 13 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026? · Yes0.2440.175$167.73$66.27
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? · No0.8490.905$148.09+$9.09
OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027? · No0.7930.840$140.30+$7.90
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? · No0.8900.915$91.50+$2.50
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31? · No0.8090.815$81.49+$0.54
China ballistic missile launch by December 31? · No0.8300.815$81.48$1.51

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-14 06:17Will Trump accuse Israel of election interference by July 16?BUY0.95$95.00
07-14 06:16Will Trump accuse China of election interference by July 16?BUY0.73$73.00
07-13 10:51Will "Gus" - A Mounted Tyrannosaurus Rex Skeleton sell for at least $25m at auction?BUY0.96$115.20
07-10 16:19Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?BUY0.8095$80.95
07-10 01:38Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027?BUY0.82$164.00
07-09 13:08China ballistic missile launch by December 31?BUY0.83$37.35
07-09 12:42Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?BUY0.75$150.00
07-09 09:24Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?BUY0.8$80.00
07-09 09:24Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?BUY0.8$80.00
07-09 04:509.0 or above earthquake before 2027?BUY0.939$96.21
07-09 00:35Will Trump and Putin meet next in China?BUY0.88$88.00
07-08 13:21China x Philippines military clash before 2027?BUY0.86$86.00
07-08 13:19Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?BUY0.89$8.90
07-08 13:16Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?BUY0.21$21.00
07-08 13:13Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by August 31?BUY0.685$13.70