Hechuan
0x659c970982ac1b464fc419694b10c052b22ca086
- Realised P&L
- $-1.8k
- Volume
- $105.1k
- Markets traded
- 408
- Open portfolio
- $4.4k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded408
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration8.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)76.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration22.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$199.56at 0.458Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?
- +$169.98at 0.746Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31?
- +$138.77at 0.843Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping in 2025?
- +$132.46at 0.769Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping in October?
- +$108.93at 0.355Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-14 06:17 | Will Trump accuse Israel of election interference by July 16? | BUY | 0.95 | $95.00 |
| 07-14 06:16 | Will Trump accuse China of election interference by July 16? | BUY | 0.73 | $73.00 |
| 07-13 10:51 | Will "Gus" - A Mounted Tyrannosaurus Rex Skeleton sell for at least $25m at auction? | BUY | 0.96 | $115.20 |
| 07-10 16:19 | Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31? | BUY | 0.8095 | $80.95 |
| 07-10 01:38 | Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027? | BUY | 0.82 | $164.00 |
| 07-09 13:08 | China ballistic missile launch by December 31? | BUY | 0.83 | $37.35 |
| 07-09 12:42 | Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? | BUY | 0.75 | $150.00 |
| 07-09 09:24 | Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31? | BUY | 0.8 | $80.00 |
| 07-09 09:24 | Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31? | BUY | 0.8 | $80.00 |
| 07-09 04:50 | 9.0 or above earthquake before 2027? | BUY | 0.939 | $96.21 |
| 07-09 00:35 | Will Trump and Putin meet next in China? | BUY | 0.88 | $88.00 |
| 07-08 13:21 | China x Philippines military clash before 2027? | BUY | 0.86 | $86.00 |
| 07-08 13:19 | Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? | BUY | 0.89 | $8.90 |
| 07-08 13:16 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.21 | $21.00 |
| 07-08 13:13 | Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by August 31? | BUY | 0.685 | $13.70 |