fakefinn
0xb2376b774a1dbb1ac904e424607520376bf1d8d0
- Realised P&L
- $809.47
- Volume
- $15.0k
- Markets traded
- 17
- Open portfolio
- $4.1k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar5.4%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- BlockerMarkets traded17
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration36.2% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample5 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration25.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$543.86at 0.563Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?
- +$464.18at 0.670Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
- +$455.35at 0.305Will Ed Gallrein be the Republican nominee for KY-04?
- +$37.76at 0.841Will Keiko Fujimori win the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections by at least 5%?
- +$-200.00at 0.434Will James Talarico and John Cornyn be the candidates for the Texas Senate Election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-15 09:00 | Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | SELL | 0.981 | $1.5k |
| 04-29 06:11 | Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.6299999943 | $100.00 |
| 04-25 19:03 | Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.6 | $100.00 |
| 04-25 17:52 | Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.6099999985 | $100.00 |
| 04-25 17:51 | Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.5885286779 | $200.00 |
| 04-25 17:51 | Will James Talarico and John Cornyn be the candidates for the Texas Senate Election? | BUY | 0.4337111871 | $200.00 |
| 04-25 17:51 | Will the Republicans win the Montana Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.79 | $199.86 |
| 04-25 17:49 | Will Ed Gallrein be the Republican nominee for KY-04? | BUY | 0.3051782431 | $200.00 |
| 04-25 17:49 | Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.4399999993 | $200.00 |
| 04-25 17:49 | Will Keiko Fujimori win the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections by at least 5%? | BUY | 0.8411966568 | $200.00 |
| 04-25 17:48 | Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election? | BUY | 0.4219578206 | $250.00 |
| 04-25 17:47 | Will there be between 11 and 13 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026? | BUY | 0.2109512861 | $250.00 |
| 04-25 17:47 | Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | BUY | 0.6214815591 | $300.00 |
| 04-25 17:47 | Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary? | BUY | 0.5615774611 | $300.00 |
| 04-25 17:46 | Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.48 | $300.00 |