treadmill4727
0x1676160a7c9d3bd7453db60d6c1eb2de893042b7
- Realised P&L
- $-36.29
- Volume
- $2.4k
- Markets traded
- 5
- Open portfolio
- $27.30
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded5
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- CautionSettled sample4 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)0.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration68.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will there be between 11 and 13 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026? · Yes | 0.194 | 0.175 | $18.72 | −$2.01 |
| Will there be between 8 and 10 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026? · Yes | 0.011 | 0.009 | $3.12 | −$0.52 |
| Will there be between 14 and 16 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026? · No | 0.500 | 0.555 | $2.77 | +$0.27 |
| Will there be between 17 and 19 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026? · Yes | 0.160 | 0.295 | $2.68 | +$1.23 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$-1.04at 0.700Will there be between 17 and 19 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?
- +$-1.05at 0.138Will there be 20 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?
- +$-3.35at 0.929Will there be 20 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?
- +$-3.42at 0.890Will there be between 11 and 13 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-03 19:46 | Will there be between 11 and 13 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026? | BUY | 0.19 | $2.28 |
| 08-03 07:52 | Will there be between 11 and 13 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026? | BUY | 0.19 | $1.90 |
| 08-02 22:36 | Will there be between 11 and 13 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026? | BUY | 0.19 | $2.85 |
| 07-30 22:52 | Will there be between 11 and 13 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026? | BUY | 0.19 | $2.47 |
| 07-28 15:07 | Will there be 20 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026? | SELL | 0.0677333333 | $1.02 |
| 07-28 10:05 | Will there be between 11 and 13 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026? | BUY | 0.2 | $2.80 |
| 07-28 09:41 | Will there be between 11 and 13 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026? | BUY | 0.1973568282 | $6.72 |
| 07-28 07:38 | Will there be between 11 and 13 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026? | SELL | 0.1118166667 | $6.71 |
| 07-28 07:38 | Will there be between 17 and 19 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026? | SELL | 0.64788 | $12.96 |
| 07-28 07:38 | Will there be between 11 and 13 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026? | BUY | 0.89 | $25.20 |
| 07-28 07:38 | Will there be 20 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026? | BUY | 0.1379999461 | $2.10 |
| 07-28 07:38 | Will there be 20 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026? | SELL | 0.862 | $43.10 |
| 07-28 07:36 | Will there be between 11 and 13 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026? | SELL | 0.1685293333 | $25.28 |
| 07-28 07:36 | Will there be between 8 and 10 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026? | SELL | 0.008 | $1.58 |
| 07-17 15:42 | Will there be between 8 and 10 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026? | SELL | 0.019137814 | $8.23 |