90dayse
0xe3693a85ddf0c44e26550aecd266b5e48642a884
- Realised P&L
- $-37.61
- Volume
- $25.4k
- Markets traded
- 4
- Open portfolio
- $16.63
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded4
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample2 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will there be between 11 and 13 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026? · Yes | 0.260 | 0.175 | $16.63 | −$8.07 |
| Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to no prison time? · No | 0.591 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$23.64 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$22.40at 0.761No change in Bank of Japan's interest rates after March 2026 meeting?
- +$-28.29at 0.263Will Aston Villa finish in the top 4 of the EPL 2025–26 standings?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-14 08:20 | Will there be between 11 and 13 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026? | BUY | 0.26 | $7.80 |
| 07-14 08:17 | Will there be between 11 and 13 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026? | BUY | 0.26 | $9.62 |
| 07-14 08:14 | Will there be between 11 and 13 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026? | BUY | 0.26 | $7.28 |
| 04-22 03:11 | Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to no prison time? | BUY | 0.591 | $23.64 |
| 01-28 04:10 | No change in Bank of Japan's interest rates after March 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.768 | $2.5k |
| 01-27 08:31 | No change in Bank of Japan's interest rates after March 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.761 | $2.4k |
| 01-27 03:45 | Will Aston Villa finish in the top 4 of the EPL 2025–26 standings? | BUY | 0.263 | $828.45 |