PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

AceUngart

0x2cdc5c7411eedd4c4abc5173e8369ea77214df7a

Realised P&L
$-154.04
Volume
$9.0k
Markets traded
64
Open portfolio
$25.05

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded64
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration14.8% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)58.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration59.9% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will there be between 11 and 13 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026? · Yes0.3270.175$15.01$12.99
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? · No0.8740.175$10.04$39.96
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? · No0.1960.000$0.00$56.00
Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025? · Yes0.1060.000$0.00$30.00
No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting? · Yes0.3630.000$0.00$163.00
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? · Yes0.4750.000$0.00$40.00
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31? · No0.5000.000$0.00$26.00
Will the Central Bank of Colombia announce an increase at the March meeting? · No0.1400.000$0.00$11.20
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025? · Yes0.4400.000$0.00$20.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
03-03 21:36Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?BUY0.5$26.00
03-03 01:07Will there be between 11 and 13 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?BUY0.3273004183$25.00
03-03 01:06Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?SELL0.8$50.34
03-03 01:06Will there be between 11 and 13 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?BUY0.32$3.00
03-01 22:23Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?BUY0.4746600698$40.00
03-01 00:13Will the Central Bank of Colombia announce an increase at the March meeting?BUY0.14$3.50
02-19 15:56US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?BUY0.4799999952$20.00
02-19 15:56US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?SELL0.23$23.47
01-31 13:49Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?SELL0.001$0.13
01-30 16:10Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?BUY0.8738032194$50.00
01-28 23:58US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?BUY0.4899999966$50.00
12-22 04:59No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?BUY0.8$80.00
12-17 01:21U.S. forces seize another Venezuela-linked oil ship in 2025?BUY0.2999999925$20.00
12-15 20:26Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?BUY0.149999994$20.00
12-12 13:18Will Trump sell 0 Gold Cards in 2025?SELL0.85$38.03