PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Will there be at least 6000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?

Tick
0.01
Min order
5
Fees
None on this market
Ends
2027-01-01
Rewards
20 min size · 4.5¢ max spread

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.40. up 0.14 over the period, from 0.26. Range 0.15 to 0.64. 32 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.401010
0.41207217
0.42207424
0.4320444
0.44120564
0.4560624
0.5120644
0.5520664
0.5820684
0.5920704
0.6320724
0.6540764

Spread0.01Mid0.40

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.39100100
0.3874174
0.3789263
0.36144407
0.351,4801,887
0.32211,908
0.28201,928
0.11291,957
0.10211,978
0.022582,236
0.01102,246

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.61100100
0.6274174
0.6389263
0.64144407
0.651,4801,887
0.68211,908
0.72201,928
0.89291,957
0.90211,978
0.982582,236
0.99102,246

Spread0.01Mid0.60

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.601010
0.59207217
0.58207424
0.5720444
0.56120564
0.5560624
0.4920644
0.4520664
0.4220684
0.4120704
0.3720724
0.3540764

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
0x1AAc8DA953333450DF04882210D047583F2B66FB-1774010861675Yes1,172.28
0xDe289Ba666E7bb7c74C65aE0a03c9f78d91C2115-1766943170171Yes636.19
AJSVYes176.1
cigarettesYes156
GuyFromTinderYes79
LosingEverything12312312323123Yes40
i.newtonYes30.59
BikesarethebestYes28
pppnnYes20
0x7c14bDd7D62B9a7824C220EE39a9b58773F05783-1773587380195Yes20
YushkiYes14.95
crossFiterYes9.87
ghorrockYes5.82
Aggggaa12Yes2
fElonNo2,320.71
arbinglike99No40
HosoTraderNo20
coldreserveNo10.59

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
09:49:08BUYYes0.390012484420$7.81
09:49:08SELLNo0.6140$24.40
08:35:20BUYYes0.389999980619$7.43
08:35:20SELLNo0.6140$24.40
07:53:30BUYYes0.391999989521$8.40
07:53:30SELLNo0.6120$12.20
07:36:56BUYNo0.6421$13.12
07:31:47BUYNo0.5840$23.20
07:08:20BUYYes0.390243902421$8.00
07:08:20SELLNo0.6140$24.40
06:29:21SELLNo0.628$4.84
06:25:06BUYNo0.55596025784$46.72
04:04:50BUYNo0.366719865624$8.73
02:24:47SELLNo0.5120$10.20
00:31:41SELLYes0.4620$9.20
23:59:11SELLYes0.5120$10.20
23:59:08SELLYes0.60540$24.20
22:32:18SELLNo0.0720$1.40
22:32:17BUYYes0.43392292361,152$500.00
22:08:06BUYYes0.3520$7.00
21:52:14SELLYes0.3220$6.40
21:52:09BUYNo0.679999988711$7.20
21:52:08SELLYes0.3220$6.40
21:37:24SELLNo0.6520$13.00
21:37:21SELLNo0.79540$31.80