PolyBot

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Traders

0xDe289Ba666E7bb7c74C65aE0a03c9f78d91C2115-1766943170171

0xde289ba666e7bb7c74c65ae0a03c9f78d91c2115

Realised P&L
$1.8k
Volume
$67.0k
Markets traded
90
Open portfolio
$6.4k

Can you copy this trader?

plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar2.7%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded90
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration18.4% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample43 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)53.5%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration11.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will María Fernanda Espinosa be the next Secretary-General of the United Nations? · No0.8950.947$757.60+$41.77
Will China have an Ebola case in 2026? · No0.7670.909$636.65+$99.54
Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31? · No0.8400.845$468.13+$2.77
Will the Republic of the Congo have an Ebola case in 2026? · No0.6440.765$464.07+$73.34
Will Lee Zeldin leave the Trump administration before 2027? · No0.7560.865$361.57+$45.43
Will Tom Homan be arrested before 2027? · No0.8510.911$341.63+$22.59
Will there be at least 7000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? · Yes0.4450.470$277.92+$14.83
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2027? · Yes0.4070.380$272.84−$19.41
SAVE Act becomes law by December 31, 2026? · No0.8700.949$259.89+$21.51
Will Trump be impeached by December 31, 2027? · Yes0.6040.720$253.44+$40.73
Will Trump cut corporate taxes before 2027? · No0.8580.941$188.20+$16.50
Will Trump be impeached before his term ends? · No0.2890.225$180.00−$51.35
Will Fomo launch a token by December 31 2026? · No0.7820.965$163.09+$30.86
Will Lana Nusseibeh be the next Secretary-General of the United Nations? · Yes0.3820.255$122.40−$60.87
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be TIME Person of the Year 2026? · No0.8610.957$121.48+$12.12

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
11-01 19:53Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31?BUY0.84$100.80
11-01 18:36Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31?BUY0.84$38.64
11-01 18:07Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31?BUY0.84$11.76
11-01 17:44Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31?BUY0.84$199.92
11-01 14:18Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31?BUY0.84$83.16
11-01 13:32Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31?BUY0.84$9.24
11-01 10:43Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31?BUY0.84$21.84
10-31 20:06Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?BUY0.11$1.54
10-31 20:04Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?BUY0.11$2.86
10-31 19:57Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?BUY0.11$1.76
10-31 16:08Will there be at least 7000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?BUY0.44$20.24
10-31 14:12Will there be at least 7000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?BUY0.41$20.09
10-31 11:34Will there be at least 6000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?BUY0.12$3.72
10-30 18:49Will Lana Nusseibeh be the next Secretary-General of the United Nations?BUY0.3575$8.58
10-30 18:35Will Lana Nusseibeh be the next Secretary-General of the United Nations?BUY0.345$6.90