0xDe289Ba666E7bb7c74C65aE0a03c9f78d91C2115-1766943170171
0xde289ba666e7bb7c74c65ae0a03c9f78d91c2115
- Realised P&L
- $1.8k
- Volume
- $67.0k
- Markets traded
- 90
- Open portfolio
- $6.4k
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.7%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded90
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration18.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample43 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)53.5%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration11.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$385.50at 0.380Bank of Canada Rate Hike in 2026?
- +$377.50at 0.479Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by December 31?
- +$314.70at 0.422Will there be at least 4000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?
- +$237.39at 0.532Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
- +$122.65at 0.756Will there be at least 3000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 19:53 | Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31? | BUY | 0.84 | $100.80 |
| 11-01 18:36 | Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31? | BUY | 0.84 | $38.64 |
| 11-01 18:07 | Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31? | BUY | 0.84 | $11.76 |
| 11-01 17:44 | Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31? | BUY | 0.84 | $199.92 |
| 11-01 14:18 | Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31? | BUY | 0.84 | $83.16 |
| 11-01 13:32 | Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31? | BUY | 0.84 | $9.24 |
| 11-01 10:43 | Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31? | BUY | 0.84 | $21.84 |
| 10-31 20:06 | Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | BUY | 0.11 | $1.54 |
| 10-31 20:04 | Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | BUY | 0.11 | $2.86 |
| 10-31 19:57 | Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | BUY | 0.11 | $1.76 |
| 10-31 16:08 | Will there be at least 7000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? | BUY | 0.44 | $20.24 |
| 10-31 14:12 | Will there be at least 7000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? | BUY | 0.41 | $20.09 |
| 10-31 11:34 | Will there be at least 6000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? | BUY | 0.12 | $3.72 |
| 10-30 18:49 | Will Lana Nusseibeh be the next Secretary-General of the United Nations? | BUY | 0.3575 | $8.58 |
| 10-30 18:35 | Will Lana Nusseibeh be the next Secretary-General of the United Nations? | BUY | 0.345 | $6.90 |