PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

arbinglike99

0xc607e2421f7672dd71ec327ef28556cfad97306a

Realised P&L
$-452.98
Volume
$43.0k
Markets traded
385
Open portfolio
$93.86

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded385
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration53.6% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)10.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration16.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Jaxon Smith-Njigba finish the 2026-27 NFL regular season with the most receiving yards? · No0.7400.765$15.30+$0.50
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Ohio Senate election by 6%-9%? · No0.7300.725$14.50$0.10
Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $700 in September? · No0.6200.660$13.20+$0.80
Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $720 Week of September 21 2026? · No0.4400.480$9.60+$0.80
Will Urban Granström be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Sörmland? · No0.6000.450$9.00$3.00
Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $700 Week of September 21 2026? · Yes0.2900.280$5.60$0.20
Will the next OpenAI GPT Sol model be released on September 24, 2026? · Yes0.2300.250$4.36+$0.35
Will there be no next OpenAI GPT Luna model release by October 15, 2026? · Yes0.1000.185$3.70+$1.70
Will a team from Pacific win VALORANT Champions 2026? · No0.7200.665$3.33$0.28
Will the Eagles win the season series against the Commanders during the 2026-27 NFL regular season? · Yes0.6400.790$3.29+$0.62
Will Mark Zuckerberg attend the White House state dinner for Xi Jinping? · Yes0.3600.150$3.00$4.20
Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (LOW) $160 Week of September 21 2026? · No0.7100.770$2.92+$0.23
Will Malta win 2026-27 Nations League Group D1? · No0.6100.565$2.26$0.18
Will Trump meet with Mette Frederiksen by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.8700.975$1.82+$0.20
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NY-21 House election by 6%-9%? · Yes0.2400.225$0.62$0.04

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-22 07:03Will "Forgotten Island" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 25m?SELL0.65$6.74
09-22 07:02Will Hurricane Polo peak at Category 5?SELL0.67$13.40
09-22 04:17Will Ivory Coast win AFCON 2027 qualifying Group C?SELL0.4$5.31
09-21 12:54Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.10 Week of September 21 2026?SELL0.5$10.00
09-21 08:40Will the season series between the Falcons and Panthers end in a tie during the 2026-27 NFL regular season?SELL0.41$8.20
09-21 05:05Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NC-02 House election by 40%-45%?SELL0.289$5.78
09-21 05:05Will Brazil's Q3 2026 GDP growth rate (QoQ) be between -0.3% and -0.1%?SELL0.2$6.10
09-21 05:05Will Republicans win 2 Senate and Governor elections in states won by Kamala?SELL0.62$6.32
09-21 05:05Will the Central Bank of Colombia increase the monetary policy interest rate by 50+ bps at the September meeting?SELL0.225$4.50
09-21 04:30Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 GA-02 House election by 15%-20%?SELL0.28$10.96
09-21 04:12Will Anthropic be the second-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of September 2026?SELL0.39$9.17
09-21 03:56Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $770 in September?SELL0.32$6.40
09-21 03:55Will the season series between the Broncos and Raiders end in a tie during the 2026-27 NFL regular season?SELL0.45$9.00
09-21 03:44Will DR Congo win AFCON 2027 qualifying Group E?SELL0.4$8.00
09-21 03:43Will Trevor Giertuga win the 2026 Thunder Bay mayoral election?SELL0.37$7.40