PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Will there be 7 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?

Tick
0.001
Min order
5
Fees
0.05 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.25 · takers only
Ends
2026-10-12
Resolves by
https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.004. down 0.140 over the period, from 0.145. Range 0.004 to 0.190. 170 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.0085151
0.01070121
0.01950171
0.02029200
0.03068267
0.03984351
0.040504854
0.10410864
0.10510874
0.10620894
0.12330924
0.12410934

Spread0.007Mid0.005

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.0013232

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.9993232

Spread0.007Mid0.996

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.9925151
0.99070121
0.98150171
0.98029200
0.97068267
0.96184351
0.960504854
0.89610864
0.89510874
0.89420894
0.87730924
0.87610934

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
AJSVYes267.83
TheJewishHammerYes149.98
jackli003Yes116.62
2B9SYes110.08
0x11b2…6d33Yes100
ppyiagoYes100
.MentheYes49.99
0x64B2Df86320431478146E55fbBD10C012502a9f8-1776646852678Yes49.99
KiruaTradingYes48.93
zxcursed121Yes26.25
NotAnIdiotYes22.03
cef0b057C63B71b6F29b48299433Yes21.26
29EDa18df836aD93a8c285F97873bBE26118A8da.Yes20
TENETENETYes10
bjproloYes10
qwen4.1.fundYes10
ogi250Yes6.44
luciebotYes5.01
triklozoidYes5
hunt111Yes2.65

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
00:17:11BUYNo0.99950$49.90
23:20:44BUYNo0.99950$50.00
19:25:53BUYNo0.99960$60.00
19:24:28SELLYes0.00124$0.02
19:10:46BUYNo0.99960$60.00
18:55:44BUYNo0.998621184460$60.00
18:48:38BUYNo0.9889108225300$296.97
18:37:07BUYNo0.975$5.00
18:34:16BUYYes0.03206$6.18
18:34:07SELLYes0.0113$0.13
18:34:05BUYNo0.9952$51.50
18:34:04BUYNo0.995$5.00
18:04:32SELLYes0.0217$0.34
18:04:32SELLYes0.102668621734$3.50
18:04:23SELLYes0.1215$1.80
18:02:44BUYNo0.9870$68.60
18:02:44SELLYes0.023729635680$1.91
18:02:43BUYNo0.9610$9.60
18:02:43SELLYes0.1376237259163$22.41
18:02:31BUYNo0.858$6.80
17:57:53BUYNo0.862$1.29
17:57:52BUYNo0.8599999724$3.69
17:57:47BUYNo0.85999999066$5.51
17:57:46BUYNo0.859999998211$9.66
17:57:46BUYNo0.869$7.74