PolyBot

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Traders

qwen300.fund

0xb0c85813a7a4428f1139ff91d3118a92c391fe7f

Realised P&L
$626.3k
Volume
$32.92M
Markets traded
101,460
Open portfolio
$1.3k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.9%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
BlockerMarkets traded101,460
Far too many to mirror. This is automated flow across the whole venue, not a set of considered positions — copying it means rebuilding their infrastructure, at which point you are not copying anyone.
ClearProfit concentration22.8% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)32.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration18.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the de facto leader of Venezuela at the end of 2026? · Yes0.0230.943$103.25+$100.70
Will OpenRouter process less than 175T tokens the week of November 2? · No0.9950.988$19.75−$0.15
Will OpenRouter process between 175T and 185T tokens the week of November 2? · No0.9670.976$19.51+$0.17
Will Fiona Ma win the California Lieutenant Governor Election in 2026? · Yes0.0270.953$19.06+$18.52
Will the Democrats win Maricopa County in the Arizona governor race in 2026? · Yes0.0780.947$17.96+$16.47
Will OpenRouter process between 185T and 195T tokens the week of November 2? · No0.8300.815$16.30−$0.30
Will Petr Yan be the UFC Bantamweight Champion on December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0530.951$14.95+$14.12
Will OpenRouter process 205T or more tokens the week of November 2? · No0.7000.670$13.40−$0.60
Will OpenRouter process between 195T and 205T tokens the week of November 2? · No0.5000.500$10.00+$0.00
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 70°F or higher on November 1? · No0.9990.998$9.98−$0.01
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 68-69°F on November 1? · No0.9970.991$9.91−$0.07
Will ByteDance be the second-best AI lab at the end of January 2027? · No0.9880.956$9.56−$0.32
Will Amazon be the second-best AI lab at the end of January 2027? · No0.9880.955$9.55−$0.33
Will OpenAI be the second-best AI lab at the end of January 2027? · No0.9900.940$9.40−$0.50
Will Baidu be the second-best AI lab at the end of January 2027? · No0.9700.935$9.35−$0.35

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
11-01 22:55Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?BUY0.9863398419$244.49
11-01 22:39Will "Wildwood" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 5m and 7m?BUY0.9989864286$69.93
11-01 22:39Will "Wildwood" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 3m and 5m?BUY0.999$69.93
11-01 22:39Will "Wildwood" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 7m and 9m?BUY0.101$7.07
11-01 22:27Will Iliana Iotova win the most votes in the second round of the Bulgaria presidential election from abroad?BUY0.9884285714$69.19
11-01 22:13Will US births in 2026 be between 3.56 million and 3.59 million?BUY0.58$11.60
11-01 22:13Will US births in 2026 be between 3.53 million and 3.56 million?BUY0.72$14.40
11-01 22:13Will US births in 2026 be between 3.62 million and 3.65 million?BUY0.95$19.00
11-01 22:13Will US births in 2026 be at least 3.65 million?BUY0.92$18.40
11-01 22:13Will US births in 2026 be less than 3.50 million?BUY0.999$19.98
11-01 22:13Will US births in 2026 be between 3.59 million and 3.62 million?BUY0.87$17.40
11-01 22:13Will the highest temperature in Munich be 2°C or below on November 2?BUY0.999$9.99
11-01 22:13Will the highest temperature in Munich be 3°C on November 2?BUY0.999$9.99
11-01 22:13Will the highest temperature in Munich be 4°C on November 2?BUY0.999$9.99
11-01 22:13Will the highest temperature in Munich be 10°C on November 2?BUY0.998$9.98