qwen300.fund
0xb0c85813a7a4428f1139ff91d3118a92c391fe7f
- Realised P&L
- $626.3k
- Volume
- $32.92M
- Markets traded
- 101,460
- Open portfolio
- $1.3k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.9%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- BlockerMarkets traded101,460
- Far too many to mirror. This is automated flow across the whole venue, not a set of considered positions — copying it means rebuilding their infrastructure, at which point you are not copying anyone.
- ClearProfit concentration22.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)32.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration18.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$152.1kat 0.013Will LeBron James play for the Philadelphia 76ers in 2026-27?
- +$97.9kat 0.009Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
- +$96.9kat 0.328Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
- +$76.1kat 0.986Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?
- +$54.6kat 0.309Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 22:55 | Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026? | BUY | 0.9863398419 | $244.49 |
| 11-01 22:39 | Will "Wildwood" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 5m and 7m? | BUY | 0.9989864286 | $69.93 |
| 11-01 22:39 | Will "Wildwood" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 3m and 5m? | BUY | 0.999 | $69.93 |
| 11-01 22:39 | Will "Wildwood" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 7m and 9m? | BUY | 0.101 | $7.07 |
| 11-01 22:27 | Will Iliana Iotova win the most votes in the second round of the Bulgaria presidential election from abroad? | BUY | 0.9884285714 | $69.19 |
| 11-01 22:13 | Will US births in 2026 be between 3.56 million and 3.59 million? | BUY | 0.58 | $11.60 |
| 11-01 22:13 | Will US births in 2026 be between 3.53 million and 3.56 million? | BUY | 0.72 | $14.40 |
| 11-01 22:13 | Will US births in 2026 be between 3.62 million and 3.65 million? | BUY | 0.95 | $19.00 |
| 11-01 22:13 | Will US births in 2026 be at least 3.65 million? | BUY | 0.92 | $18.40 |
| 11-01 22:13 | Will US births in 2026 be less than 3.50 million? | BUY | 0.999 | $19.98 |
| 11-01 22:13 | Will US births in 2026 be between 3.59 million and 3.62 million? | BUY | 0.87 | $17.40 |
| 11-01 22:13 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 2°C or below on November 2? | BUY | 0.999 | $9.99 |
| 11-01 22:13 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 3°C on November 2? | BUY | 0.999 | $9.99 |
| 11-01 22:13 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 4°C on November 2? | BUY | 0.999 | $9.99 |
| 11-01 22:13 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 10°C on November 2? | BUY | 0.998 | $9.98 |