Will there be ≤6 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?

Tick: 0.01
Min order: 5
Fees: 0.05 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.25 · takers only
Ends: 2026-09-28
Resolves by: https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/
Rewards: 20 min size · 4.5¢ max spread

Price history

charttable

Yes. Currently 0.35. up 0.10 over the period, from 0.25. Range 0.25 to 0.35. 73 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live

Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.36	148	148
0.37	361	509
0.39	50	559
0.40	350	909
0.42	10	919
0.43	40	959
0.44	30	989
0.50	19	1,008
0.51	45	1,053
0.52	90	1,143
0.53	20	1,163
0.59	138	1,301

Spread0.02Mid0.35

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.34	152	152
0.33	234	386
0.32	402	788
0.31	36	824
0.26	350	1,174
0.04	10	1,184
0.03	20	1,204
0.02	252	1,456
0.01	55	1,511

No

Live

No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.66	152	152
0.67	234	386
0.68	402	788
0.69	36	824
0.74	350	1,174
0.96	10	1,184
0.97	20	1,204
0.98	252	1,456
0.99	55	1,511

Spread0.02Mid0.65

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.64	148	148
0.63	361	509
0.61	50	559
0.60	350	909
0.58	10	919
0.57	40	959
0.56	30	989
0.50	19	1,008
0.49	45	1,053
0.48	90	1,143
0.47	20	1,163
0.41	138	1,301

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
Holder	Outcome	Shares
balthazar	Yes	700
KiruaTrading	Yes	418.89
cef0b057C63B71b6F29b48299433	Yes	100
2B9S	Yes	63.97
.heart	Yes	50
DJBLAK	Yes	50
manicweather	Yes	23
big-bird1	Yes	6
GuyFromTinder	Yes	5.87
BC.GAME	Yes	3.28
Alfonso910616	Yes	3.23
0xa7AF72114cfd180365cb0b74E0eb54f06e7B6Da3-1783095786513	Yes	2.7
RobertoECA	Yes	2.7
0xa5ef…2966	No	720
0x507b51630295906bC404c52Ef0456A7BDbEC0742-1769736987265	No	244.05
SH1L0H	No	150.94
kongehund	No	106
AJSV	No	82.28
Haradwaith	No	35.95
Fihdrzgdd	No	30

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
Time	Side	Outcome	Price	Size	Value
12:25:20	BUY	No	0.6499999802	5	$3.28
12:23:00	BUY	Yes	0.33	50	$16.50
11:55:06	BUY	Yes	0.31	50	$15.50
11:50:06	BUY	Yes	0.3	50	$15.00
11:26:09	BUY	Yes	0.29	50	$14.50
11:25:06	BUY	Yes	0.29	50	$14.50
11:20:06	BUY	Yes	0.29	50	$14.50
11:15:06	BUY	Yes	0.3	50	$15.00
11:12:00	BUY	No	0.71	20	$14.20
11:12:00	BUY	No	0.7046732227	244	$171.98
05:30:09	SELL	No	0.72	20	$14.40
05:30:07	BUY	Yes	0.28	30	$8.40
05:30:06	BUY	Yes	0.28	50	$14.00
04:32:04	BUY	No	0.7299999876	14	$10.00
18:19:46	BUY	No	0.7	7	$5.04
18:19:40	BUY	Yes	0.31	6	$1.86
18:19:39	BUY	Yes	0.31	50	$15.50
18:19:39	BUY	Yes	0.31	50	$15.50
13:47:36	BUY	Yes	0.3099999473	3	$1.00
12:20:18	BUY	No	0.699999965	3	$2.00
12:20:15	BUY	No	0.699999965	3	$2.00
12:20:12	BUY	No	0.699999965	3	$2.00
07:30:28	SELL	Yes	0.3	20	$6.00
07:30:18	BUY	No	0.7	10	$7.00
07:30:18	SELL	Yes	0.3	50	$15.00