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Traders

Alfonso910616

0xf4379537274c55e37565db471b916a10d1dada96

Realised P&L
$-37.20
Volume
$1.1k
Markets traded
220
Open portfolio
$4.55

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-3.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded220
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration55.8% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)48.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration63.9% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-31 21:24Boxing: Canelo Álvarez vs. Christian MbilliBUY0.749999625$1.00
10-28 13:42Will there be more than 13 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?BUY0.3299998944$1.00
10-28 13:42Will there be 10 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?BUY0.1499999925$1.00
10-21 21:57Will there be 10 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?BUY0.16$1.00
10-15 14:56Will there be 9 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?BUY0.1399999832$1.00
10-12 16:10Will there be ≤6 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?BUY0.25$1.00
10-12 13:02Will Netherlands win on 2026-10-13?BUY0.9399999624$1.00
10-12 13:02Will Ireland win on 2026-10-13?BUY0.96$1.00
10-12 13:02Will England win on 2026-10-13?BUY0.9299999907$1.00
10-12 13:02Will Scotland win on 2026-10-13?BUY0.6899999586$1.00
10-12 13:01Will Portugal win on 2026-10-13?BUY0.9$1.00
10-12 13:01Will Wales win on 2026-10-13?BUY0.849999915$1.00
10-12 13:01Will Switzerland win on 2026-10-13?BUY0.92$1.00
10-12 13:01Will Sweden win on 2026-10-13?BUY0.97$1.00
10-12 13:01Will Italy win on 2026-10-13?BUY0.9299999907$1.00
Trader Alfonso910616 · PolyBot Pro