RobertoECA
0xf0d722d28eb1a1a156c7ec03d38ef677b61cf912
- Realised P&L
- $-24.97
- Volume
- $1.4k
- Markets traded
- 168
- Open portfolio
- $0.28
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded168
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration36.2% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)94.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration46.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$18.89at 0.500Bitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET
- +$15.17at 0.062Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 80-81°F on August 4?
- +$5.39at 0.150Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 92-93°F on August 6?
- +$3.86at 0.710Bitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET
- +$3.67at 0.720Bitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-06 22:16 | Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 86-87°F on August 6? | SELL | 0.54 | $1.38 |
| 08-06 21:18 | Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 78-79°F on August 6? | SELL | 0.999 | $1.58 |
| 08-06 18:57 | Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 96-97°F on August 6? | SELL | 0.999 | $1.14 |
| 08-06 18:56 | Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 92-93°F on August 6? | SELL | 0.96 | $6.39 |
| 08-06 17:36 | Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 27°C on August 6? | SELL | 0.999 | $1.19 |
| 08-06 15:07 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 6, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET | BUY | 0.8799999883 | $3.00 |
| 08-06 14:42 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 6, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET | BUY | 0.84 | $3.00 |
| 08-06 13:42 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 6, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET | BUY | 0.9 | $3.00 |
| 08-06 04:18 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 6, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET | BUY | 0.89999976 | $3.00 |
| 08-06 03:56 | Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 29°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.5799994896 | $1.00 |
| 08-06 03:54 | Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 86-87°F on August 6? | BUY | 0.3899998479 | $1.00 |
| 08-06 03:54 | Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 27°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.84 | $1.00 |
| 08-06 03:53 | Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 70-71°F on August 6? | BUY | 0.4199998236 | $1.00 |
| 08-06 03:50 | Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 74-75°F on August 6? | BUY | 0.1899998784 | $1.00 |
| 08-06 03:49 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 86-87°F on August 6? | BUY | 0.1199998992 | $1.00 |