kongehund
0x7f614df83c50a5d7c3bbd24a228595fa5a038554
- Realised P&L
- $5.3k
- Volume
- $79.2k
- Markets traded
- 142
- Open portfolio
- $691.71
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar6.7%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded142
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration15.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)92.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration69.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.1kat 0.177Will there be more than 9 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from April 13 - April 19?
- +$763.79at 0.350Will there be more than 9 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from May 18 - 24?
- +$732.00at 0.390Will there be 5 or fewer earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from June 1 - 7?
- +$594.74at 0.460Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from May 11 - 17?
- +$576.47at 0.440Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from May 18 - 24?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-26 14:10 | Will there be a 6.0+ earthquake in Peru by August 31? | BUY | 0.9956001076 | $296.17 |
| 08-26 14:06 | Will a 6.0+ earthquake occur in Indonesia by August 31? | BUY | 0.9941627362 | $224.69 |
| 08-24 20:24 | Will there be more than 13 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide? | BUY | 0.7869262739 | $181.77 |
| 08-24 12:02 | Will there be ≤6 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide? | BUY | 0.80545 | $322.18 |
| 08-15 07:59 | Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026? | BUY | 0.94 | $156.04 |
| 08-10 14:32 | Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from August 10 - August 16? | BUY | 0.998 | $361.57 |
| 08-10 11:05 | Will there be 6 or fewer earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from August 10 - August 16? | BUY | 0.8027900347 | $529.43 |
| 08-09 15:55 | Will the Republicans win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.39 | $539.74 |
| 08-09 08:00 | Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from August 10 - August 16? | BUY | 0.53 | $6.61 |
| 08-03 10:26 | Will there be more than 13 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from August 3 - August 9? | BUY | 0.8970436164 | $688.78 |
| 08-03 08:16 | Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from August 3 - August 9? | BUY | 0.53 | $209.22 |
| 08-02 13:58 | Will there be 6 or fewer earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from August 3 - August 9? | BUY | 0.73 | $36.50 |
| 07-29 06:39 | Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from July 27 - August 2? | BUY | 0.423469325 | $192.86 |
| 07-28 07:55 | Will there be more than 13 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from July 27 - August 2? | BUY | 0.5706069919 | $29.71 |
| 07-28 07:46 | Will there be more than 13 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from July 27 - August 2? | SELL | 0.63 | $11.47 |