PolyBot

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Traders

kongehund

0x7f614df83c50a5d7c3bbd24a228595fa5a038554

Realised P&L
$5.3k
Volume
$79.2k
Markets traded
142
Open portfolio
$691.71

Can you copy this trader?

plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar6.7%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
ClearMarkets traded142
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration15.6% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)92.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration69.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Republicans win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.3900.345$477.47−$62.28
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026? · No0.9400.965$160.19+$4.15
Will there be 0 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide? · No0.5201.000$19.99+$9.59
Will Logan Paul return to the WWE ring before October 31, 2026? · No0.6000.961$19.21+$7.21
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell before 2027? · Yes0.0400.038$6.41−$0.25
Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.0100.003$5.00−$15.00
Will Lionel Messi announce his retirement in 2026? · Yes0.3400.115$3.45−$6.75
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from April 27 - May 3? · No0.4930.000$0.00−$500.51
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from August 3 - August 9? · No0.5300.000$0.00−$227.47
Will there be ≤6 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide? · No0.6500.000$0.00−$812.50
Will there be more than 12 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from July 14 - July 19? · No0.8770.000$0.00−$143.14
Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from July 27 - August 2? · No0.4290.000$0.00−$219.46
Will there be 1 earthquake of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide? · Yes0.3200.000$0.00−$13.21
Will there be exactly 10 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from August 17 - August 23? · Yes0.1000.000$0.00−$1.70
Will there be 10 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide? · Yes0.0900.000$0.00−$12.33

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-26 14:10Will there be a 6.0+ earthquake in Peru by August 31?BUY0.9956001076$296.17
08-26 14:06Will a 6.0+ earthquake occur in Indonesia by August 31?BUY0.9941627362$224.69
08-24 20:24Will there be more than 13 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?BUY0.7869262739$181.77
08-24 12:02Will there be ≤6 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?BUY0.80545$322.18
08-15 07:59Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?BUY0.94$156.04
08-10 14:32Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from August 10 - August 16?BUY0.998$361.57
08-10 11:05Will there be 6 or fewer earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from August 10 - August 16?BUY0.8027900347$529.43
08-09 15:55Will the Republicans win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.39$539.74
08-09 08:00Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from August 10 - August 16?BUY0.53$6.61
08-03 10:26Will there be more than 13 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from August 3 - August 9?BUY0.8970436164$688.78
08-03 08:16Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from August 3 - August 9?BUY0.53$209.22
08-02 13:58Will there be 6 or fewer earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from August 3 - August 9?BUY0.73$36.50
07-29 06:39Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from July 27 - August 2?BUY0.423469325$192.86
07-28 07:55Will there be more than 13 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from July 27 - August 2?BUY0.5706069919$29.71
07-28 07:46Will there be more than 13 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from July 27 - August 2?SELL0.63$11.47