PolyBot

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Will there be 4 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?

Tick
0.001
Min order
5
Fees
0.05 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.25 · takers only
Ends
2026-11-02
Resolves by
https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.025. down 0.020 over the period, from 0.045. Range 0.009 to 0.051. 153 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.0504040
0.0582060
0.05967127
0.060400527
0.06716543
0.35435578
0.35630608
0.36820628
0.37420648
0.3765653
0.37913666
0.38227693

Spread0.049Mid0.026

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.0018585

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.9998585

Spread0.049Mid0.974

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.9504040
0.9422060
0.94167127
0.940400527
0.93316543
0.64635578
0.64430608
0.63220628
0.62620648
0.6245653
0.62113666
0.61827693

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
fcwlYes349.99
a5533Yes90
xtxpleasecallmeYes71.99
1x6891589732cf8beaaf424b117d5c5c20919f6bb9Yes40
LornaPredictsYes40
balthazarYes20.02
mustbethewaterYes17.57
GingerMcKennaYes17.05
flexer78Yes16.25
bjproloYes10
hfvYes8.52
0xa5ef…2966No557.81
racesdavidNo83.51
cigarettesNo20
zeitfi-vault-v2No10
0xF4fE4AeeA49C54aA73Ec946ab2Eebd02eE42F6E7-1757776368556No5.08
productsNo5.01

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
03:38:33BUYNo0.99784$83.26
00:11:28BUYNo0.99710$9.97
22:16:30BUYNo0.995647825420$19.94
22:16:30BUYNo0.9954$3.98
22:16:30BUYNo0.99526$25.87
17:00:04BUYYes0.0165$0.08
09:54:51BUYNo0.994245048820$19.86
09:54:49BUYNo0.993333333330$29.80
04:18:22BUYNo0.99320$19.86
04:18:10BUYNo0.99310$9.93
04:18:09BUYNo0.99310$9.93
04:18:07BUYNo0.99320$19.86
11:24:36BUYYes0.0165$0.08
10:24:42BUYNo0.99510$9.95
10:24:40BUYNo0.99510$9.95
07:02:30BUYNo0.99310$9.93
04:41:04BUYNo0.9955$4.98
21:50:00BUYNo0.99510$9.95
21:50:00BUYNo0.99518$17.91
21:49:58BUYNo0.9954$3.97
17:46:25SELLYes0.0065$0.03
17:46:19BUYNo0.993602343813$12.72
11:00:05BUYYes0.0195$0.10
02:57:35SELLYes0.0064$0.02
23:45:34BUYNo0.992416333330$29.77