PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

racesdavid

0x6990f17c07df168e885b76f1de291f51bb3e1f8d

Realised P&L
$7.12
Volume
$41.9k
Markets traded
199
Open portfolio
$795.03

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded199
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration11.2% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)96.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration49.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Xi Jinping out before 2027? · No0.9700.980$391.80+$3.80
Xi meets with Lee Jae-Myung by December 31? · Yes0.9570.978$97.75+$2.05
Will there be 4 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide? · No0.9970.975$81.38−$1.88
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? · No0.9100.955$47.75+$2.25
Will Donald Trump visit North Korea in 2026? · No0.9300.945$47.25+$0.75
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31? · No0.9400.935$43.01−$0.23
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before November 30, 2026 · No0.9370.983$29.48+$1.36
Will Elon Musk rejoin the Trump Administration in 2026? · No0.9190.972$29.16+$1.57
Iran leadership change by November 30? · No0.9200.915$27.45−$0.15

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
11-01 03:57Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31?BUY0.94$43.24
11-01 03:41Iran leadership change by November 30?BUY0.92$27.60
11-01 03:38Will there be 4 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?BUY0.997$83.26
10-30 09:24Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $315 in October?BUY0.998$29.94
10-29 13:11Will Dogecoin dip to $0.05 in October?BUY0.987$17.77
10-29 13:11Will Dogecoin reach $0.15 in October?BUY0.997$19.94
10-29 13:11Will BNB dip to $600 in October?BUY0.97$32.98
10-09 08:17Will Apple (AAPL) hit (LOW) $280 in October?BUY0.9867382353$33.55
10-09 08:14Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $285 in October?BUY0.959$47.95
10-09 08:14Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $480 in October?BUY0.976$97.60
10-09 08:12Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $184 in October?BUY0.986$39.44
10-09 08:03Xi Jinping out before 2027?BUY0.97$388.00
10-09 07:13Will Elon Musk rejoin the Trump Administration in 2026?BUY0.9195933333$27.59
10-09 07:11Will Donald Trump visit North Korea in 2026?BUY0.93$46.50
10-09 07:10Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin by October 31, 2026?BUY0.988$29.64