PolyBot

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Will there be 3 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?

Tick
0.001
Min order
5
Fees
0.05 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.25 · takers only
Ends
2026-11-02
Resolves by
https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.030. down 0.020 over the period, from 0.051. Range 0.011 to 0.051. 147 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.0602020
0.0681737
0.06967103
0.070400503
0.11350553
0.34330583
0.34448631
0.34620651
0.34727678
0.34820698
0.49934732
0.50014746

Spread0.059Mid0.030

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.001145145

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.999145145

Spread0.059Mid0.970

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.9402020
0.9321737
0.93167103
0.930400503
0.88750553
0.65730583
0.65648631
0.65420651
0.65327678
0.65220698
0.50134732
0.50014746

Top holders

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
17:10:24BUYYes0.02160$1.26
11:09:46BUYNo0.99818$17.54
00:11:27BUYNo0.99710$9.97
22:16:31BUYNo0.99726$25.92
22:16:30BUYNo0.9974$3.99
22:16:30BUYNo0.99720$19.94
17:10:06BUYYes0.025$0.10
17:00:04BUYYes0.0165$0.08
09:54:51BUYNo0.994118333330$29.82
04:18:22BUYNo0.988720$19.77
04:18:10BUYNo0.98710$9.87
04:18:09BUYNo0.9866210$9.87
04:18:07BUYNo0.98620$19.72
04:01:31BUYNo0.98599999946$6.11
10:24:42BUYNo0.98710$9.87
10:24:39BUYNo0.98710$9.87
07:02:30BUYNo0.98610$9.86
04:41:04BUYNo0.9875$4.94
21:50:00BUYNo0.98710$9.87
21:50:00BUYNo0.98718$17.77
21:49:58BUYNo0.9874$3.94
17:46:19BUYNo0.9875$4.93
17:46:19BUYNo0.98713$12.63
11:00:05BUYYes0.0195$0.10
23:45:35BUYNo0.977824666730$29.33