PolyBot

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Will there be 2 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?

Tick
0.001
Min order
5
Fees
0.05 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.25 · takers only
Ends
2026-11-02
Resolves by
https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.025. down 0.165 over the period, from 0.190. Range 0.015 to 0.465. 150 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.0492020
0.0502040
0.0514080
0.058585
0.05967152
0.060400552
0.06340592
0.07430622
0.0759631
0.07635666
0.07820686
0.11645731

Spread0.048Mid0.025

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.001252252

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.999252252

Spread0.048Mid0.975

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.9512020
0.9502040
0.9494080
0.942585
0.94167152
0.940400552
0.93740592
0.92630622
0.9259631
0.92435666
0.92220686
0.88445731

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
xtxpleasecallmeYes396.04
southtideYes145.25
fcwlYes129.99
LornaPredictsYes59.93
to-the-moooonYes59.42
1x6891589732cf8beaaf424b117d5c5c20919f6bb9Yes56
balthazarYes40
a5533Yes20
mustbethewaterYes17.57
GingerMcKennaYes17.05
GuyFromTinderYes10
bjproloYes10
0xc7D5670680A73067135fE24B4c97F196F8C46b08-1782535538997Yes5
GA6300BDYes4.63
0xa5ef…2966No557.81
KiruaTradingNo327.37
AMAM13No21
cigarettesNo20
DowJones2No16.67
zeitfi-vault-v2No10

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
00:11:27BUYNo0.99110$9.91
22:16:31BUYNo0.990384615426$25.75
22:16:30BUYNo0.99516$15.92
22:16:30BUYNo0.9954$3.98
09:54:49BUYNo0.983333333330$29.50
04:18:22BUYNo0.9720$19.40
04:18:10BUYNo0.9710$9.70
04:18:09BUYNo0.9710$9.70
04:18:07BUYNo0.9720$19.40
03:50:36BUYNo0.9710$9.70
15:43:33BUYNo0.94500500510$9.44
10:24:42BUYNo0.9410$9.40
07:02:30BUYNo0.9410$9.40
04:41:04BUYNo0.945$4.70
22:05:00BUYYes0.0819$1.55
21:50:00BUYYes0.252258899359$14.99
21:49:58BUYYes0.124$2.40
19:04:40SELLNo0.892$1.96
17:46:58SELLNo0.74144$106.42
17:46:17BUYYes0.135617977518$2.41
17:46:17SELLNo0.893278688561$54.49
23:45:37SELLYes0.0510$0.50
23:45:34BUYNo0.934$3.30
23:45:34BUYNo0.9221730$27.67
20:43:01SELLYes0.087$0.52