PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

GA6300BD

0x41a43ce1adf17406f06ed3f56a16468147f04187

Realised P&L
$995.33
Volume
$89.6k
Markets traded
249
Open portfolio
$59.00

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.1%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded249
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration31.8% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration41.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will there be 0 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide? · No0.5700.305$24.40−$21.20
Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by December 31, 2026? · No0.9190.986$21.45+$1.45
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.5280.485$6.43−$0.57
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.3530.178$3.03−$2.97
Will there be 2 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide? · Yes0.1600.065$2.61−$3.81
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.3000.199$0.66−$0.34
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.1900.081$0.42−$0.58

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-08 09:23Will there be 0 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?BUY0.39$7.80
10-08 09:09Will there be 2 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?BUY0.1599501247$6.41
10-08 09:09Will there be 0 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?BUY0.57$56.99
10-08 09:09Will there be 1 earthquake of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?BUY0.425777699$100.32
10-08 06:56Will there be ≤6 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?BUY0.43$3.01
10-05 01:29Will there be ≤6 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?BUY0.16$7.04
10-04 20:32Will there be ≤6 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?BUY0.41$15.58
10-03 22:58Will there be ≤6 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?BUY0.218149038$82.50
10-02 16:39Will there be ≤6 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?BUY0.33$13.20
09-27 22:10Will there be 1 earthquake of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?SELL0.02$3.15
09-27 22:09Will there be 2 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?SELL0.05$0.22
09-27 22:09Will there be 1 earthquake of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?SELL0.04$0.80
09-27 22:09Will there be 1 earthquake of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?SELL0.06$1.18
09-27 21:50Will there be 2 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?BUY0.1028750898$32.92
09-27 21:50Will there be 1 earthquake of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?BUY0.0951435035$20.19