Will there be 12 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?

Tick: 0.001
Min order: 5
Fees: 0.05 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.25 · takers only
Ends: 2026-10-12
Resolves by: https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/
Rewards: 20 min size · 4.5¢ max spread

Price history

charttable

Yes. Currently 0.152. up 0.097 over the period, from 0.055. Range 0.030 to 0.192. 170 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live

Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.153	58	58
0.154	20	78
0.168	10	88
0.169	81	169
0.170	100	269
0.173	84	353
0.180	300	653
0.259	32	684
0.300	10	694
0.309	50	744
0.310	27	771
0.320	30	801

Spread0.002Mid0.152

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.151	25	25
0.150	20	45
0.131	46	91
0.130	100	191
0.062	19	210
0.060	300	510
0.051	91	600
0.050	140	740
0.010	40	780
0.008	20	800
0.004	40	840
0.003	33	873

No

Live

No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.849	25	25
0.850	20	45
0.869	46	91
0.870	100	191
0.938	19	210
0.940	300	510
0.949	91	600
0.950	140	740
0.990	40	780
0.992	20	800
0.996	40	840
0.997	33	873

Spread0.002Mid0.848

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.847	58	58
0.846	20	78
0.832	10	88
0.831	81	169
0.830	100	269
0.827	84	353
0.820	300	653
0.741	32	684
0.700	10	694
0.691	50	744
0.690	27	771
0.680	30	801

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
Holder	Outcome	Shares
joe48691	Yes	191.28
2B9S	Yes	163.21
Dr.PNL	Yes	135.64
AJSV	Yes	121.67
splogdes	Yes	42.46
0x5F3ee9c40Be255D1C18cA38bf4Ab94b564C75337-1776862065527	Yes	41.1
0x7f15F350261a0dfA8bff802df364E33773d552f1-1768964329836	Yes	29
ppyiago	Yes	21.51
BottleHeck	Yes	1
0xa5ef…2966	No	441.4
Gemini456	No	144.53
KiruaTrading	No	100
Haradwaith	No	20.1
NotAnIdiot	No	16.5
a5533	No	11.35
Hugin-og-Munin	No	10
mktestmm	No	2.24

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
Time	Side	Outcome	Price	Size	Value
07:44:49	BUY	No	0.8929999754	2	$2.00
05:43:36	BUY	Yes	0.0959999972	11	$1.09
04:29:39	BUY	No	0.83879	100	$83.88
01:17:53	SELL	No	0.865	1	$0.86
21:18:28	BUY	Yes	0.108999998	31	$3.39
20:58:07	BUY	Yes	0.1582068966	29	$4.59
20:32:46	BUY	No	0.882	21	$18.52
20:32:35	BUY	Yes	0.0951802451	55	$5.28
20:32:34	BUY	No	0.989	10	$9.89
20:29:05	SELL	No	0.839	22	$18.46
20:27:59	BUY	Yes	0.1453571429	136	$19.74
20:27:20	BUY	No	0.893	19	$17.21
19:05:47	BUY	Yes	0.081	20	$1.63
18:02:43	BUY	No	0.989	70	$69.23
18:02:43	BUY	No	0.989	5	$4.95
18:02:43	BUY	No	0.989	52	$51.46
18:02:43	BUY	No	0.989	10	$9.89
18:02:31	BUY	No	0.988	8	$7.90
07:07:13	BUY	No	0.953	25	$23.82
07:07:13	BUY	No	0.953	20	$19.06
07:07:13	BUY	No	0.945703245	145	$136.68