PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

mktestmm

0x5904fcc9e9294260e1403d57b2b8dd248308940f

Realised P&L
$-802.08
Volume
$479.5k
Markets traded
18,927
Open portfolio
$601.48

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded18,927
Far too many to mirror. This is automated flow across the whole venue, not a set of considered positions — copying it means rebuilding their infrastructure, at which point you are not copying anyone.
ClearProfit concentration17.1% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)92.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration26.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Kulmiye Party (Peace, Unity, and Development Party) win the most seats in the next Somaliland parliamentary election? · No0.9900.971$102.90$2.09
Will the Justice and Welfare Party (UCID) win the most seats in the next Somaliland parliamentary election? · No0.9840.986$85.16+$0.16
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Baltimore Orioles · Philadelphia Phillies0.9971.000$28.07+$0.07
Will White House post 120-139 posts from July 31 to August 7, 2026? · No0.9990.996$5.98$0.02
Will White House post 140-159 posts from July 31 to August 7, 2026? · No0.9980.950$5.71$0.29
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026? · No0.9600.999$4.16+$0.16
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026? · No0.9841.000$4.06+$0.06
Will White House post 160-179 posts from July 28 to August 4, 2026? · No0.9891.000$4.04+$0.04
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026? · No0.9931.000$4.03+$0.03
Will Ted Cruz post 160-179 posts from July 28 to August 4, 2026? · No0.9900.994$4.02+$0.02
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026? · No0.9961.000$4.01+$0.01
Will Zelenskyy post 140-159 posts from July 28 to August 4, 2026? · No0.9981.000$4.01+$0.01
Will CZ post 60-79 posts from July 28 to August 4, 2026? · No0.9981.000$4.01+$0.01
Will NYC Mayor post 140-159 posts from July 28 to August 4, 2026? · No0.9981.000$4.00+$0.00
Will NYC Mayor post 80-99 posts from July 28 to August 4, 2026? · No0.9981.000$4.00+$0.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-03 09:09Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?BUY0.95$1.00
08-03 07:21Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?BUY0.96$1.00
08-03 07:06Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?BUY0.95$1.00
08-03 01:05Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?BUY0.96$1.00
08-03 01:02Will Portland Thorns FC win on 2026-08-02?BUY0.9989995015$2.00
08-03 01:02Will Utah Royals FC win on 2026-08-02?BUY0.999$2.00
08-03 00:57Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 68-69°F on August 2?SELL0.057$0.06
08-03 00:12Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 70-71°F on August 2?SELL0.39$0.84
08-02 23:51Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 68-69°F on August 2?BUY0.9679999923$1.00
08-02 23:35Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on August 3?BUY0.995$1.00
08-02 23:34Will White House post 180-199 posts from July 28 to August 4, 2026?BUY0.96$1.00
08-02 23:21Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 70-71°F on August 2?BUY0.889999911$1.00
08-02 23:20Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on August 3?BUY0.992$1.00
08-02 23:05Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 70-71°F on August 2?BUY0.959999616$1.00
08-02 22:55Philadelphia Phillies vs. Baltimore OriolesBUY0.997999758$4.00
Trader mktestmm · PolyBot