PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Will there be 0 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?

Tick
0.01
Min order
5
Fees
0.05 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.25 · takers only
Ends
2026-10-12
Resolves by
https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/
Rewards
20 min size · 4.5¢ max spread

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.69. up 0.18 over the period, from 0.51. Range 0.46 to 0.69. 155 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.704040
0.71110150
0.72473623
0.76178801
0.7872873
0.792141,087
0.801931,280
0.90351,315
0.91401,355
0.921201,475
0.951001,575
0.971321,707

Spread0.01Mid0.69

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.69111111
0.68100211
0.67153365
0.6630395
0.6527421
0.4411433
0.0947480
0.0880560
0.0655615
0.023,0003,615
0.01103,625

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.31111111
0.32100211
0.33153365
0.3430395
0.3527421
0.5611433
0.9147480
0.9280560
0.9455615
0.983,0003,615
0.99103,625

Spread0.01Mid0.30

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.304040
0.29110150
0.28473623
0.24178801
0.2272873
0.212141,087
0.201931,280
0.10351,315
0.09401,355
0.081201,475
0.051001,575
0.031321,707

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
KiruaTradingYes488.35
mamaiYes226.47
cplyrcmol2Yes178.57
1757853877736Yes99.99
0x5f13fc993d6a04e7FB801f9204cC3c26Eb6Cf926-1781987576884Yes47.47
sdssdsYes40
0xef03567fC5a30B665efca7e9eF2e9e3fe6031FbF-1759574216489Yes39.98
Azrael-aiYes9.99
physical-geographerYes6
haouibaoYes5
pootytherewardfarmerYes4.87
nullpointer1Yes4.71
web3love123456Yes4.55
zxcursed121Yes4.11
youtube-traderYes1.57
AJSVNo492.74
0xa5ef…2966No123.24
0x69eC6D332e485a56779D3E5E6084F8343674e278-1768404727853No108.7
GA6300BDNo79.99
ppyiagoNo71.42

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
19:15:48SELLYes0.690$0.12
19:10:33BUYNo0.316$1.77
19:10:00BUYNo0.3119$5.89
19:04:05SELLYes0.696$4.14
19:04:03SELLNo0.350$15.00
19:03:11BUYYes0.6623468026226$150.00
19:03:11BUYYes0.6710530$20.13
19:03:09BUYYes0.6820$13.60
15:47:05SELLYes0.6374$46.36
15:47:03BUYNo0.379999997190$34.09
14:15:11SELLYes0.634$2.27
14:04:09BUYYes0.6599999345$3.00
12:32:35SELLYes0.6220$12.40
12:30:29BUYNo0.38120$45.60
11:49:54SELLNo0.3618$6.63
11:44:59BUYNo0.38100$38.00
11:30:05BUYNo0.3916$6.39
11:30:03BUYNo0.37120$44.40
10:48:21BUYNo0.388$2.89
10:09:14SELLYes0.6231$19.38
09:50:56BUYYes0.649999993515$10.00
09:47:30SELLNo0.336$1.98
09:47:20BUYYes0.676$4.02
09:47:17BUYNo0.36123$44.28
09:47:09SELLYes0.6520$13.00