PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

1757853877736

0x48327b886e4e7bd66c8724b5418187e02730bb63

Realised P&L
$-959.16
Volume
$30.4k
Markets traded
118
Open portfolio
$0.15

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-3.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded118
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration11.2% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will there be 0 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide? · Yes0.4100.002$0.15−$40.85
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on September 25? · Yes0.2400.000$0.00−$24.00
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on September 24? · Yes0.2800.000$0.00−$28.00
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? · Yes0.4800.000$0.00−$48.00
Will there be 0 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide? · Yes0.4700.000$0.00−$47.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-12 03:55Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on October 12?BUY0.82$47.56
09-30 05:36Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on September 30?BUY0.15$0.75
09-23 08:45Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on September 24?BUY0.28$22.41
09-18 09:07Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on September 18?SELL0.001$0.20
09-18 04:17Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on September 18?BUY0.44$11.00
09-14 11:34Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on September 14?SELL0.002$0.20
09-13 07:25Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on September 13?SELL0.019$1.90
08-31 11:35Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.48$48.00
08-27 17:48Will there be 0 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?BUY0.65$52.00
08-27 17:40Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on August 28?BUY0.66$39.60
08-20 07:03Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on August 20?SELL0.01$2.00
08-19 15:40Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on August 19?SELL0.999$499.48
08-18 16:10Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on August 19?BUY0.97$103.00
08-18 16:09Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on August 18?SELL0.999$499.50
08-18 03:40Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on August 18?BUY0.8$26.92