nullpointer1
0x3a90be4265207a720986e7003c29a65ff8845f7c
- Realised P&L
- $1.41
- Volume
- $35.57
- Markets traded
- 3
- Open portfolio
- $22.43
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar4.0%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- BlockerMarkets traded3
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample1 position
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration85.4% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will a 6.5+ earthquake occur worldwide by October 31? · Yes | 0.920 | 0.890 | $19.15 | −$0.65 |
| Will there be 0 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide? · Yes | 0.630 | 0.695 | $3.28 | +$0.31 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.41at 0.849Another 7.0 or above earthquake by March 31, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-08 09:10 | Will a 6.5+ earthquake occur worldwide by October 31? | BUY | 0.9199999981 | $19.80 |
| 10-07 18:54 | Will there be 0 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide? | BUY | 0.6299999618 | $2.97 |
| 02-06 15:57 | Another 7.0 or above earthquake by March 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.8199999752 | $1.98 |
| 02-04 15:40 | Another 7.0 or above earthquake by March 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.8289999853 | $1.98 |
| 02-02 16:42 | Another 7.0 or above earthquake by March 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.8759999929 | $1.98 |
| 02-02 15:56 | Another 7.0 or above earthquake by March 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.8719999648 | $1.98 |