Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Tick: 0.01
Min order: 5
Fees: None on this market
Ends: 2026-12-31
Rewards: 200 min size · 3.5¢ max spread

Price history

charttable

Yes. Currently 0.20. down 0.01 over the period, from 0.20. Range 0.17 to 0.28. 168 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live

Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.20	40,140	40,140
0.21	67,641	107,782
0.22	524,253	632,034
0.23	99,238	731,272
0.24	7,393	738,665
0.25	52,917	791,582
0.26	20,127	811,709
0.27	46,853	858,562
0.28	139,194	997,756
0.29	2,912	1,000,667
0.30	61,069	1,061,736
0.31	4,793	1,066,529

Spread0.01Mid0.20

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.19	440,724	440,724
0.18	389,487	830,211
0.17	125,370	955,582
0.16	127,092	1,082,674
0.15	36,058	1,118,732
0.14	70,357	1,189,088
0.13	239,975	1,429,063
0.12	485,727	1,914,790
0.11	515,679	2,430,469
0.10	54,412	2,484,881
0.09	23,807	2,508,688
0.08	17,111	2,525,799

No

Live

No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.81	440,724	440,724
0.82	389,487	830,211
0.83	125,370	955,582
0.84	127,092	1,082,674
0.85	36,058	1,118,732
0.86	70,357	1,189,088
0.87	239,975	1,429,063
0.88	485,727	1,914,790
0.89	515,679	2,430,469
0.90	54,412	2,484,881
0.91	23,807	2,508,688
0.92	17,111	2,525,799

Spread0.01Mid0.81

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.80	40,140	40,140
0.79	67,641	107,782
0.78	524,253	632,034
0.77	99,238	731,272
0.76	7,393	738,665
0.75	52,917	791,582
0.74	20,127	811,709
0.73	46,853	858,562
0.72	139,194	997,756
0.71	2,912	1,000,667
0.70	61,069	1,061,736
0.69	4,793	1,066,529

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
Holder	Outcome	Shares
TheQuietRisk	Yes	1,056,378.99
xm39	Yes	899,666.25
SecondWindCapital	Yes	819,220.77
onepingonly	Yes	400,000.03
aenews2	Yes	377,049.25
meagainsttheworld	Yes	250,000.15
Kryptogram	Yes	249,494.83
novv25	Yes	176,209.13
DonaldPumpJr	Yes	172,469.24
Arbguy	Yes	155,444.61
TwoEyes	Yes	127,746.28
ProfitMuhammedPBUH	Yes	124,999.71
0xB886580698eDE4b18DE3E446b2D8Da8bCEdd81B3-1767532547794	Yes	119,181.31
LlamaLoco0000	Yes	100,001.33
freeman1337	Yes	89,251.52
yupiiiiiiiii	Yes	77,210.65
luckyduck42	Yes	66,831.78
mombil	Yes	65,000.25
lazercrazer	Yes	64,082.18
bathon	Yes	59,099.9

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
Time	Side	Outcome	Price	Size	Value
21:55:21	SELL	Yes	0.19	900	$171.00
21:54:05	SELL	Yes	0.19	1	$0.19
21:52:53	BUY	No	0.8	34,410	$27527.64
21:52:23	BUY	Yes	0.2	5,615	$1123.09
21:50:30	SELL	No	0.8	122	$97.53
21:50:17	SELL	No	0.79	95	$74.81
21:50:15	SELL	No	0.79	6	$4.95
21:50:15	SELL	No	0.79	6	$5.10
21:50:15	SELL	No	0.79	10	$8.24
21:50:14	BUY	No	0.8	14,688	$11750.43
21:49:47	SELL	No	0.79	51	$40.68
21:49:45	SELL	No	0.79	4	$2.77
21:49:44	SELL	Yes	0.2	11,000	$2200.00
21:48:56	BUY	No	0.8	88	$70.00
21:48:50	BUY	No	0.8	12	$9.88
21:48:32	BUY	No	0.8	8,750	$7000.00
21:47:42	BUY	Yes	0.2099999861	48	$10.00
21:44:56	BUY	No	0.8	1	$1.00
21:43:38	BUY	No	0.8	10,000	$8000.00
21:42:17	SELL	Yes	0.2	240	$48.00
21:42:00	SELL	Yes	0.2	3,000	$600.00
21:33:54	SELL	Yes	0.2	40	$8.00
21:19:20	BUY	Yes	0.2099999798	38	$8.00
21:11:57	SELL	Yes	0.2	5	$1.00
21:09:26	SELL	Yes	0.2	10	$1.90