Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Tick: 0.01
Min order: 5
Fees: None on this market
Ends: 2027-01-01
Rewards: 200 min size · 3.5¢ max spread

Price history

charttable

Yes. Currently 0.17. up 0.02 over the period, from 0.14. Range 0.14 to 0.17. 169 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live

Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.17	147,954	147,954
0.18	205,170	353,125
0.19	89,997	443,122
0.20	20,461	463,582
0.21	7,435	471,017
0.22	2,988	474,005
0.23	5,541	479,546
0.24	6,502	486,048
0.25	60,441	546,489
0.26	13,281	559,770
0.27	5,005	564,775
0.28	453	565,228

Spread0.01Mid0.17

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.16	177,028	177,028
0.15	230,566	407,594
0.14	569,362	976,956
0.13	53,365	1,030,321
0.12	138,689	1,169,011
0.11	79,292	1,248,303
0.10	42,571	1,290,874
0.09	21,236	1,312,110
0.08	7,195	1,319,305
0.07	13,807	1,333,112
0.06	47,488	1,380,600
0.05	67,062	1,447,662

No

Live

No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.84	177,028	177,028
0.85	230,566	407,594
0.86	569,362	976,956
0.87	53,365	1,030,321
0.88	138,689	1,169,011
0.89	79,292	1,248,303
0.90	42,571	1,290,874
0.91	21,236	1,312,110
0.92	7,195	1,319,305
0.93	13,807	1,333,112
0.94	47,488	1,380,600
0.95	67,062	1,447,662

Spread0.01Mid0.83

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.83	147,954	147,954
0.82	205,170	353,125
0.81	89,997	443,122
0.80	20,461	463,582
0.79	7,435	471,017
0.78	2,988	474,005
0.77	5,541	479,546
0.76	6,502	486,048
0.75	60,441	546,489
0.74	13,281	559,770
0.73	5,005	564,775
0.72	453	565,228

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
Holder	Outcome	Shares
TheQuietRisk	Yes	1,056,378.99
xm39	Yes	935,936.59
SecondWindCapital	Yes	819,220.77
onepingonly	Yes	400,000.03
meagainsttheworld	Yes	323,999.92
Kryptogram	Yes	249,494.83
LlamaLoco0000	Yes	200,224.06
DonaldPumpJr	Yes	172,469.24
Arbguy	Yes	155,444.61
kenzok	Yes	141,457.05
0xB886580698eDE4b18DE3E446b2D8Da8bCEdd81B3-1767532547794	Yes	122,514.31
freeman1337	Yes	89,251.52
0x8542adb70397e9de67ba9abe6971e3f50fb7a7b	Yes	79,721.71
TreepleA	Yes	70,835.26
luckyduck42	Yes	66,831.78
SOLE214	Yes	63,699.94
Harluc	Yes	62,892.79
bathon	Yes	59,099.9
anas10	Yes	57,499.91
abracadabr	Yes	53,378.12

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
Time	Side	Outcome	Price	Size	Value
01:18:13	SELL	No	0.83	3,000	$2490.00
00:25:31	BUY	No	0.8399999994	194	$163.00
00:25:09	BUY	No	0.8399999952	8	$7.00
00:20:06	BUY	No	0.84	800	$672.00
00:18:33	BUY	No	0.84	500	$420.00
00:15:22	SELL	Yes	0.16	12	$1.86
00:15:06	BUY	Yes	0.1699999974	12	$1.98
23:44:25	BUY	Yes	0.1699999983	6	$1.00
23:27:24	BUY	No	0.84	200	$168.00
22:38:46	SELL	No	0.83	0	$0.01
22:38:46	SELL	No	0.83	6,000	$4980.00
22:32:21	BUY	No	0.83999997	1	$1.12
21:57:58	BUY	No	0.84	11,905	$10000.00
21:34:37	SELL	No	0.83	6	$5.05
21:30:49	SELL	No	0.83	8	$6.48
21:10:01	SELL	No	0.83	25	$20.75
20:55:57	BUY	No	0.84	30	$25.00
20:22:00	BUY	No	0.84	219	$183.96
20:20:39	BUY	No	0.84	150	$126.00
20:10:04	BUY	No	0.83	10,210	$8474.42
20:04:04	SELL	Yes	0.17	118	$20.00
19:59:07	BUY	Yes	0.1799999986	56	$10.00
19:51:55	BUY	Yes	0.18	6	$1.01
19:47:19	SELL	Yes	0.17	2,000	$340.00
19:46:10	BUY	No	0.83	2,000	$1660.00