Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Tick: 0.01
Min order: 5
Fees: None on this market
Ends: 2027-01-01
Rewards: 200 min size · 3.5¢ max spread

Price history

charttable

Yes. Currently 0.17. down 0.02 over the period, from 0.19. Range 0.17 to 0.21. 152 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live

Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.18	29,650	29,650
0.19	26,674	56,324
0.20	10,820	67,144
0.21	1,240	68,384
0.22	1,422	69,806
0.23	1,122	70,929
0.24	22	70,951
0.25	909	71,860
0.26	714	72,574
0.27	3,294	75,868
0.28	623	76,491
0.29	1,815	78,305

Spread0.01Mid0.17

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.17	131,881	131,881
0.16	52,168	184,048
0.15	613,609	797,658
0.14	88,647	886,305
0.13	80,850	967,155
0.12	10,545	977,700
0.11	11,888	989,588
0.10	14,462	1,004,049
0.09	12,527	1,016,576
0.08	11,671	1,028,247
0.07	37,698	1,065,945
0.06	18,567	1,084,512

No

Live

No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.83	131,881	131,881
0.84	52,168	184,048
0.85	613,609	797,658
0.86	88,647	886,305
0.87	80,850	967,155
0.88	10,545	977,700
0.89	11,888	989,588
0.90	14,462	1,004,049
0.91	12,527	1,016,576
0.92	11,671	1,028,247
0.93	37,698	1,065,945
0.94	18,567	1,084,512

Spread0.01Mid0.82

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.82	29,650	29,650
0.81	26,674	56,324
0.80	10,820	67,144
0.79	1,240	68,384
0.78	1,422	69,806
0.77	1,122	70,929
0.76	22	70,951
0.75	909	71,860
0.74	714	72,574
0.73	3,294	75,868
0.72	623	76,491
0.71	1,815	78,305

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
Holder	Outcome	Shares
TheQuietRisk	Yes	1,056,378.99
xm39	Yes	925,530.01
SecondWindCapital	Yes	819,220.77
onepingonly	Yes	400,000.03
Kryptogram	Yes	249,494.83
meagainsttheworld	Yes	218,199.99
LlamaLoco0000	Yes	207,099.24
DonaldPumpJr	Yes	172,469.24
Arbguy	Yes	155,444.61
0xB886580698eDE4b18DE3E446b2D8Da8bCEdd81B3-1767532547794	Yes	120,282.31
kenzok	Yes	111,457.05
freeman1337	Yes	89,251.52
TreepleA	Yes	70,835.26
luckyduck42	Yes	66,831.78
bathon	Yes	59,099.9
anas10	Yes	57,499.91
starbuck02	Yes	51,779.08
Blazzin16	Yes	46,353.35
0xE5F0AE9cc9aeF77ae3c2A64c9E69caa3F335dc1d-1773531520731	Yes	44,898.59
trumpsbestfriend	Yes	42,073.53

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
Time	Side	Outcome	Price	Size	Value
20:19:48	BUY	No	0.829999998	361	$300.00
19:49:09	BUY	No	0.8299998465	2	$2.00
19:32:55	BUY	No	0.8299998632	3	$2.67
19:32:54	BUY	No	0.829999998	120	$100.00
19:29:07	BUY	Yes	0.18	100	$18.00
19:01:57	SELL	No	0.82	16	$12.77
18:57:24	SELL	No	0.82	19	$15.21
18:19:52	BUY	No	0.8299999613	18	$15.00
17:22:55	BUY	No	0.8299999842	12	$10.00
17:20:00	SELL	No	0.83	8,961	$7437.42
17:20:00	BUY	Yes	0.18	200	$36.00
16:27:18	BUY	Yes	0.17	200	$34.00
16:27:07	BUY	Yes	0.17	125	$21.25
16:02:22	BUY	Yes	0.17	200	$34.00
16:00:09	BUY	No	0.8399999533	11	$9.35
15:29:12	SELL	No	0.83	47	$39.07
15:28:57	BUY	No	0.8399999933	12	$10.00
15:24:42	BUY	Yes	0.1699999999	959	$163.08
15:19:33	SELL	No	0.83	500	$415.00
15:19:31	SELL	No	0.83	0	$0.21
15:19:25	BUY	No	0.84	50	$42.00
14:45:25	SELL	No	0.83	9	$7.57
14:39:58	BUY	Yes	0.169999995	20	$3.37
14:39:43	SELL	No	0.83	1	$0.44
14:39:36	SELL	Yes	0.16	29	$4.71

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · PolyBot Pro