kenzok
0xc13ad72937dbe8b4f31e5ae1aafd486ca8ac6471
- Realised P&L
- $-13.2k
- Volume
- $743.7k
- Markets traded
- 17
- Open portfolio
- $24.1k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded17
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration64.4% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample16 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration80.8% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · Yes | 0.186 | 0.175 | $19.5k | −$1.2k |
| Iran leadership change by December 31? · Yes | 0.139 | 0.135 | $4.6k | −$144.78 |
| Will France win on 2025-10-13? · Yes | 0.560 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$120.10 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$17.1kat 0.461Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2025-10-29?
- +$4.9kat 0.878Will Real Madrid win on 2025-11-01?
- +$4.5kat 0.637Will Napoli win on 2025-10-28?
- +$51.00at 0.778Cowboys vs. Broncos
- +$44.00at 0.750Buccaneers vs. Saints
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-23 07:30 | Iran leadership change by December 31? | BUY | 0.1381013037 | $457.09 |
| 10-22 20:42 | Iran leadership change by December 31? | BUY | 0.139056351 | $1.3k |
| 10-22 20:41 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | SELL | 0.16 | $3.2k |
| 10-22 16:15 | Iran leadership change by December 31? | BUY | 0.1389470604 | $1.6k |
| 10-22 16:12 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | SELL | 0.16 | $1.6k |
| 08-07 00:16 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | BUY | 0.1851605299 | $24.1k |
| 08-07 00:16 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | BUY | 0.1971068172 | $2.3k |
| 08-02 03:52 | Iran leadership change by December 31? | SELL | 0.21 | $628.72 |
| 08-02 03:50 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | SELL | 0.1573900371 | $9.4k |
| 08-02 03:50 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | SELL | 0.15 | $118.99 |
| 08-02 03:50 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | SELL | 0.1764072974 | $15.8k |
| 07-19 00:10 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | BUY | 0.34 | $244.79 |
| 07-19 00:10 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | BUY | 0.3271488875 | $9.3k |
| 07-16 22:05 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | BUY | 0.2358221727 | $100.00 |
| 07-16 15:40 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | BUY | 0.24 | $10.0k |