kenzok
0xc13ad72937dbe8b4f31e5ae1aafd486ca8ac6471
- Realised P&L
- $-15.4k
- Volume
- $679.3k
- Markets traded
- 17
- Open portfolio
- $23.3k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded17
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration64.4% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample17 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)47.1%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · Yes | 0.186 | 0.165 | $23.3k | −$3.0k |
| Will France win on 2025-10-13? · Yes | 0.560 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$120.10 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$17.1kat 0.461Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2025-10-29?
- +$4.9kat 0.878Will Real Madrid win on 2025-11-01?
- +$4.5kat 0.637Will Napoli win on 2025-10-28?
- +$51.00at 0.778Cowboys vs. Broncos
- +$44.00at 0.750Buccaneers vs. Saints
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-07 00:16 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | BUY | 0.1851605299 | $24.1k |
| 08-07 00:16 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | BUY | 0.1971068172 | $2.3k |
| 08-02 03:52 | Iran leadership change by December 31? | SELL | 0.21 | $628.72 |
| 08-02 03:50 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | SELL | 0.1573900371 | $9.4k |
| 08-02 03:50 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | SELL | 0.15 | $118.99 |
| 08-02 03:50 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | SELL | 0.1764072974 | $15.8k |
| 07-19 00:10 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | BUY | 0.34 | $244.79 |
| 07-19 00:10 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | BUY | 0.3271488875 | $9.3k |
| 07-16 22:05 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | BUY | 0.2358221727 | $100.00 |
| 07-16 15:40 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | BUY | 0.24 | $10.0k |
| 07-13 21:39 | Iran leadership change by December 31? | BUY | 0.2598620525 | $778.00 |
| 07-08 21:57 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | BUY | 0.1793867866 | $2.6k |
| 07-08 21:57 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | BUY | 0.1642979907 | $10.4k |
| 07-08 21:32 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | BUY | 0.1499999989 | $100.00 |
| 11-24 21:04 | Will Manchester United win on 2025-11-24? | SELL | 0.38 | $950.00 |