freeman1337
0x74019d0b6978a9f4198af6983c25df40374187c5
- Realised P&L
- $-46.0k
- Volume
- $258.3k
- Markets traded
- 5
- Open portfolio
- $18.3k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-17.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded5
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample2 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · Yes | 0.550 | 0.205 | $18.3k | −$30.8k |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30? · No | 0.343 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.4k |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15? · No | 0.494 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.8k |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$13.4kat 0.609US forces enter Iran by December 31?
- +$-5.8kat 0.174Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-08 10:17 | Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31? | BUY | 0.07 | $67.37 |
| 04-05 15:27 | US forces enter Iran by December 31? | SELL | 0.998 | $25.8k |
| 04-05 15:27 | US forces enter Iran by December 31? | SELL | 0.998 | $8.6k |
| 03-23 15:38 | Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31? | BUY | 0.1689829427 | $254.21 |
| 03-23 15:37 | Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31? | BUY | 0.1536403509 | $35.03 |
| 03-23 11:58 | Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15? | BUY | 0.4994998393 | $2.2k |
| 03-23 11:58 | Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30? | BUY | 0.3281825538 | $989.54 |
| 03-20 21:07 | Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30? | BUY | 0.36 | $183.81 |
| 03-20 20:55 | Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30? | BUY | 0.3476912563 | $5.6k |
| 03-20 20:55 | Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31? | BUY | 0.1860967136 | $3.8k |