PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

SecondWindCapital

0x8c80d213c0cbad777d06ee3f58f6ca4bc03102c3

Realised P&L
$-147.4k
Volume
$25.45M
Markets traded
84
Open portfolio
$1.12M

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded84
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration15.4% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample34 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)82.4%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration37.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? · No0.8150.945$425.6k+$58.5k
Trump out as President before 2027? · No0.8540.935$383.9k+$33.2k
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · Yes0.3470.205$167.9k$116.4k
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? · No0.8820.915$145.5k+$5.3k
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes0.5170.445$7.9k$1.3k
Will Stephen A. Smith win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.0110.005$1.5k$1.5k
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? · Yes0.3700.065$549.35$2.6k
US strikes Iran by February 23, 2026? · Yes0.1400.000$0.00$1.1k
Magic vs. Pistons · Magic0.2370.000$0.00$225.5k
Will Manchester United win the 2025–26 English Premier League? · Yes0.0170.000$0.00$81.11
US strikes Iran by February 19, 2026? · Yes0.0160.000$0.00$3.7k
Fight to Go the Distance? · No0.7100.000$0.00$37.6k
UFC 327: Curtis Blaydes vs. Josh Hokit (Heavyweight, Main Card) · Curtis Blaydes0.5000.000$0.00$73.8k
US strikes Iran by February 24, 2026? · Yes0.1300.000$0.00$1.3k
Madrid Open: Alexander Bublik vs Stefanos Tsitsipas · Alexander Bublik0.6300.000$0.00$35.4k

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
05-28 13:32Roland Garros ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Juan Manuel CerundoloBUY0.0924547518$311.22
05-28 13:31Roland Garros ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Juan Manuel CerundoloBUY0.0999904842$1.1k
05-28 13:31Roland Garros ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Juan Manuel CerundoloBUY0.0886029695$831.63
05-28 13:24Roland Garros ATP: Joao Fonseca vs Novak DjokovicBUY0.6467813628$12.8k
05-28 13:24Roland Garros ATP: Joao Fonseca vs Novak DjokovicBUY0.65$8.1k
05-28 13:22Roland Garros ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Juan Manuel CerundoloBUY0.2111093768$3.7k
05-28 13:13Roland Garros ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Juan Manuel CerundoloBUY0.44$110.40
05-28 13:12Roland Garros ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Juan Manuel CerundoloBUY0.4388492764$950.93
05-26 14:30Spurs vs. ThunderBUY0.39$72.3k
05-26 14:30Spurs vs. ThunderBUY0.39$35.5k
05-09 20:50UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)BUY0.81$386.4k
05-09 19:41Will Khamzat Chimaev win by KO or TKO?BUY0.2$28.0k
05-09 14:47UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)BUY0.82$863.9k
05-09 14:47UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)BUY0.82$5.2k
05-08 12:53Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?BUY0.8092507699$86.8k