PolyBot

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Traders

xm39

0x696de7b6e43f45378f60402b9fccff9c7484f89d

Realised P&L
$-176.1k
Volume
$3.67M
Markets traded
110
Open portfolio
$154.5k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-4.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded110
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration41.0% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)92.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration99.9% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · Yes0.1820.165$154.4k$16.4k
Will Washington Wizards win the 2027 NBA Finals? · Yes0.0200.011$80.67$72.96
Suns vs. Bucks · Bucks0.4600.000$0.00$69.00
Spread: Raptors (-3.5) · Suns0.4650.000$0.00$93.00
Nuggets vs. Warriors · Nuggets0.6600.000$0.00$46.20
Rockets vs. Knicks · Rockets0.4100.000$0.00$12.30
Spread: Timberwolves (-6.5) · Timberwolves0.4800.000$0.00$95.98
Spread: Warriors (-1.5) · Warriors0.5000.000$0.00$50.00
Spread: Nuggets (-11.5) · Nuggets0.5000.000$0.00$100.00
Spread: Celtics (-17.5) · Nets0.4800.000$0.00$95.99
Clippers vs. Lakers · Clippers0.3100.000$0.00$15.50
Suns vs. Pacers · Pacers0.2200.000$0.00$33.00
Mavericks vs. Celtics · Mavericks0.1670.000$0.00$100.00
Spread: Nuggets (-4.5) · Nuggets0.3200.000$0.00$19.20
Hawks vs. Celtics · Celtics0.1150.000$0.00$11.50

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-11 14:48Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.21$5.7k
09-11 09:43Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.39$14.4k
08-30 23:50Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?BUY0.16$11.7k
08-30 23:43Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?BUY0.15$27.4k
08-30 23:43Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?BUY0.14$2.6k
08-27 07:06Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?SELL0.14$2.6k
08-27 07:06Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?SELL0.14$136.2k
08-27 07:06Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?SELL0.1486597615$20.1k
08-22 16:50Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit (BO3) - The International PlayoffsBUY0.3$5.3k
08-22 16:49Dota 2: BoomBoys vs Team Spirit (BO3) - The International PlayoffsSELL0.999$6.9k
08-22 12:42Dota 2: BoomBoys vs Team Spirit (BO3) - The International PlayoffsBUY0.63$4.3k
08-22 12:17Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Yandex (BO3) - The International PlayoffsBUY0.10441156$1.6k
08-22 07:52Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs BoomBoys (BO3) - The International PlayoffsBUY0.2261387229$1.2k
08-22 07:51Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs BoomBoys (BO3) - The International PlayoffsBUY0.2869629333$430.44
08-22 07:32Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs BoomBoys (BO3) - The International PlayoffsBUY0.4$494.31