PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

xm39

0x696de7b6e43f45378f60402b9fccff9c7484f89d

Realised P&L
$-72.3k
Volume
$978.3k
Markets traded
104
Open portfolio
$176.8k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-7.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded104
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration7.4% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)92.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration99.9% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · Yes0.2740.205$185.8k$62.7k
Will Washington Wizards win the 2027 NBA Finals? · Yes0.0200.013$96.04$57.62
Suns vs. Bucks · Bucks0.4600.000$0.00$69.00
Spread: Raptors (-3.5) · Suns0.4650.000$0.00$93.00
Nuggets vs. Warriors · Nuggets0.6600.000$0.00$46.20
Rockets vs. Knicks · Rockets0.4100.000$0.00$12.30
Spread: Timberwolves (-6.5) · Timberwolves0.4800.000$0.00$95.98
Spread: Warriors (-1.5) · Warriors0.5000.000$0.00$50.00
Spread: Nuggets (-11.5) · Nuggets0.5000.000$0.00$100.00
Spread: Celtics (-17.5) · Nets0.4800.000$0.00$95.99
Clippers vs. Lakers · Clippers0.3100.000$0.00$15.50
Suns vs. Pacers · Pacers0.2200.000$0.00$33.00
Mavericks vs. Celtics · Mavericks0.1670.000$0.00$100.00
Spread: Nuggets (-4.5) · Nuggets0.3200.000$0.00$19.20
Hawks vs. Celtics · Celtics0.1150.000$0.00$11.50

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-02 22:54Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?BUY0.2$1.3k
08-01 10:00Will Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2027 NBA Finals?SELL0.036$39.34
07-30 06:37Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?BUY0.27$4.5k
07-30 05:48Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?BUY0.27$8.9k
07-30 02:05Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?BUY0.27$3.2k
07-30 01:48Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?BUY0.29$4.69
07-30 01:46Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?BUY0.28$718.80
07-30 01:45Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?BUY0.3$3.6k
07-30 01:45Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?BUY0.3$3.0k
07-30 01:43Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?BUY0.29$6.30
07-30 01:37Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?BUY0.3$161.25
07-30 01:37Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?BUY0.3$2.1k
07-30 01:37Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?BUY0.3$1.3k
07-30 01:36Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?BUY0.31$8.6k
07-30 01:35Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?BUY0.3$605.57