PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

starbuck02

0xea7957606f259bcba522a4681494555547a7a9cc

Realised P&L
$-277.8k
Volume
$14.42M
Markets traded
1,255
Open portfolio
$14.0k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.9%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded1,255
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration27.9% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)90.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration64.7% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · Yes0.3200.175$9.1k−$7.5k
Will Kash Patel leave the Trump administration before 2027? · No0.2400.825$3.1k+$2.2k
Netanyahu out by June 30? · No0.8401.000$1.6k+$259.20
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.0370.051$255.00+$70.00
Map Handicap: AST (-1.5) vs FUT Esports (+1.5) · FUT Esports0.7020.000$0.00−$4.5k
Map Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs FaZe (+1.5) · G20.4430.000$0.00−$65.4k
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan? · Yes0.9630.000$0.00−$481.49
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in April? · Yes0.1690.000$0.00−$765.79
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21? · Yes0.7000.000$0.00−$16.6k
Belgium vs. IR Iran: O/U 0.5 · Over0.9400.000$0.00−$55.0k
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April? · Yes0.0450.000$0.00−$117.43
Will Donald Trump announce Todd Blanche as the next United States Attorney General by June 30? · No0.7390.000$0.00−$1.0k
Belgium vs. IR Iran: O/U 1.5 · Over0.7700.000$0.00−$30.0k
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvana · ThunderTalk Gaming0.4840.000$0.00−$7.9k
Counter-Strike: G2 vs FaZe (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Playoffs · G20.7200.000$0.00−$137.5k

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
06-21 21:02Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21?BUY0.7$953.75
06-21 20:53Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21?BUY0.7$15.6k
06-21 20:37Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21?BUY0.27736017$13.9k
06-21 18:58Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21?BUY0.69$5.5k
06-21 18:58Belgium vs. IR Iran: O/U 0.5BUY0.94$55.0k
06-21 18:58Belgium vs. IR Iran: O/U 1.5BUY0.77$30.0k
06-21 16:48Will Valve add Cache to the Map Pool by June 30, 2026?SELL0.9486086638$3.3k
06-21 11:54Will Spain win on 2026-06-21?BUY0.89$55.2k
06-21 02:34Will Spain win on 2026-06-21?BUY0.89$9.9k
06-21 02:34Will Spain win on 2026-06-21?BUY0.89$40.1k
06-21 02:33Will Japan win on 2026-06-21?BUY0.69$38.0k
06-20 22:52Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-20?BUY0.85$20.0k
06-20 19:22Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.064$3.5k
06-20 19:21Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?SELL0.7779563273$4.3k
06-20 18:59Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?BUY0.69$13.2k