Blazzin16
0x1c863073305557d7271f750d9ca5c71f435fd8d6
- Realised P&L
- $-4.3k
- Volume
- $116.0k
- Markets traded
- 15
- Open portfolio
- $8.3k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded15
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration67.4% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample8 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)37.5%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration97.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · Yes | 0.283 | 0.175 | $8.1k | −$5.0k |
| AI bubble burst in 2026? · Yes | 0.224 | 0.097 | $173.10 | −$226.19 |
| Iran successfully targets shipping on July 17? · Yes | 0.302 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$211.40 |
| Will "Enola Holmes 3" be the top US Netflix movie this week? · Yes | 0.272 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.4k |
| Will "Little Brother" be the top US Netflix movie this week? · No | 0.346 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$868.23 |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult Vladimir Putin by July 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.763 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$6.4k |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April? · Yes | 0.518 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.5k |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.2kat 0.525US forces enter Iran by April 30?
- +$1.9kat 0.696US forces enter Iran by December 31?
- +$132.40at 0.811Iran successfully targets shipping on July 6?
- +$-20.00at 0.079Netanyahu out by March 31?
- +$-20.00at 0.157Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-30 17:18 | Will Donald Trump publicly insult Vladimir Putin by July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.661 | $3.80 |
| 07-30 15:28 | Will Donald Trump publicly insult Vladimir Putin by July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.774 | $731.69 |
| 07-06 15:36 | Will "Little Brother" be the top US Netflix movie this week? | BUY | 0.3645320155 | $50.00 |
| 07-06 15:19 | Will "Enola Holmes 3" be the top US Netflix movie this week? | BUY | 0.36 | $3.60 |
| 05-06 22:59 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | BUY | 0.2131677993 | $2.0k |
| 04-22 00:44 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | BUY | 0.2799999997 | $500.00 |
| 04-20 21:30 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | BUY | 0.3099999998 | $1000.00 |
| 04-18 14:25 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | BUY | 0.2799999999 | $1.5k |
| 04-16 18:52 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | BUY | 0.3299999999 | $2.6k |
| 04-14 18:25 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | BUY | 0.2979117885 | $5.0k |
| 04-08 00:20 | US forces enter Iran by December 31? | SELL | 0.998 | $5.0k |
| 04-08 00:20 | US forces enter Iran by April 30? | SELL | 0.997 | $6.5k |
| 04-07 05:11 | Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April? | BUY | 0.6630365249 | $475.74 |
| 04-03 22:45 | US forces enter Iran by December 31? | SELL | 0.91 | $507.78 |
| 04-03 22:45 | US forces enter Iran by April 30? | SELL | 0.87 | $632.49 |