Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.5% at the end of 2026?

Tick: 0.001
Min order: 5
Fees: 0.05 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.25 · takers only
Ends: 2026-12-09

Price history

charttable

Yes. Currently 0.018. down 0.022 over the period, from 0.040. Range 0.016 to 0.040. 169 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live

Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.020	76	76
0.022	11,142	11,218
0.023	20	11,238
0.024	20	11,258
0.030	67	11,325
0.031	67	11,393
0.032	67	11,460
0.033	67	11,527
0.034	67	11,594
0.035	180	11,775
0.036	67	11,842
0.037	67	11,909

Spread0.005Mid0.018

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.015	322	322
0.014	214	536
0.013	231	767
0.012	250	1,017
0.011	272	1,289
0.010	300	1,589
0.005	820	2,409
0.004	2,247	4,656
0.003	20,033	24,689
0.002	1,938	26,627
0.001	69,608	96,235

No

Live

No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.985	322	322
0.986	214	536
0.987	231	767
0.988	250	1,017
0.989	272	1,289
0.990	300	1,589
0.995	820	2,409
0.996	2,247	4,656
0.997	20,033	24,689
0.998	1,938	26,627
0.999	69,608	96,235

Spread0.005Mid0.982

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.980	76	76
0.978	11,142	11,218
0.977	20	11,238
0.976	20	11,258
0.970	67	11,325
0.969	67	11,393
0.968	67	11,460
0.967	67	11,527
0.966	67	11,594
0.965	180	11,775
0.964	67	11,842
0.963	67	11,909

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
Holder	Outcome	Shares
DenisBr	Yes	11,141.77
hippoka	Yes	3,125.87
125-kooyanisqatsi	Yes	2,017.46
rousseauuu	Yes	1,892.16
GamblingEnjoyer	Yes	1,360.6
shentong808	Yes	655.92
cry.eth2	Yes	466.27
LA17	Yes	444.36
0x96E27EDb0ecfd4926A5BBfc6d5208D86EAE01690-1779414160316	Yes	401.04
Bikesarethebest	Yes	347
donthackme	Yes	226.73
HerrieDavis	Yes	222.99
LornaPredicts	Yes	218.68
carpe-noctem	Yes	201.99
0xB16B00B5	Yes	200.71
howesr1970	Yes	199.99
planktonXD	Yes	181.13
BSS37	Yes	154.63
0x06d898dd11C4c1ffcA1F91c2c47f6E379b4C9446-1776245316934	Yes	150
0x75d1B199a96801338e67a6eFAa35C0028eA87A5F-1770658242710	Yes	124.12

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
Time	Side	Outcome	Price	Size	Value
12:21:36	SELL	No	0.98	5	$4.97
12:20:42	BUY	No	0.9849998316	5	$5.00
11:12:21	BUY	No	0.985	10	$9.85
16:50:24	SELL	No	0.98	5	$4.97
16:49:25	BUY	No	0.9849998316	5	$5.00
16:04:43	BUY	No	0.985	13	$12.61
16:04:42	BUY	No	0.985	25	$24.52
16:04:42	BUY	No	0.985	10	$9.85
15:05:12	SELL	No	0.98	5	$5.30
15:00:22	SELL	No	0.981316913	6	$5.98
14:59:06	BUY	No	0.9849999286	6	$6.00
14:12:57	SELL	No	0.982	5	$4.98
14:12:27	BUY	No	0.9849998316	5	$5.00
00:24:00	SELL	No	0.983	5	$4.98
00:23:16	BUY	No	0.9849998316	5	$5.00
16:00:27	SELL	No	0.983	1	$0.99
15:15:41	SELL	No	0.983	5	$4.98
15:15:12	BUY	No	0.9849998316	5	$5.00
10:51:56	SELL	Yes	0.015	0	$0.00
10:43:49	BUY	No	0.984	10	$9.84
10:43:49	BUY	No	0.984	53	$52.15
10:43:49	BUY	No	0.984	10	$9.84
10:43:49	BUY	No	0.984	50	$49.20
10:43:49	BUY	No	0.984	15	$14.76
03:36:52	SELL	No	0.978	5	$4.97