DenisBr
0xccedd9a9a6fedd93c8fd58c24ff72bb3d5b3226b
- Realised P&L
- $-1.2k
- Volume
- $50.1k
- Markets traded
- 3
- Open portfolio
- $431.29
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded3
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- CautionSettled sample1 position
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)0.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration74.4% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? · Yes | 0.162 | 0.012 | $320.82 | −$4.0k |
| Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.5% at the end of 2026? · Yes | 0.250 | 0.010 | $110.46 | −$2.7k |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$-919.74at 0.403Will GPT-6 be released by June 30, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-29 00:52 | Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.5% at the end of 2026? | BUY | 0.056 | $22.14 |
| 05-29 00:50 | Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? | SELL | 0.18 | $540.00 |
| 03-19 01:57 | Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.5% at the end of 2026? | BUY | 0.28 | $21.28 |