PolyBot

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Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.5% at the end of 2026?

Tick
0.001
Min order
5
Fees
0.05 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.25 · takers only
Ends
2026-12-09

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.004. down 0.001 over the period, from 0.004. Range 0.004 to 0.004. 168 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.0043,5173,517
0.0052,2495,766
0.0061,2326,998
0.0071,2038,201
0.0231008,301
0.0246078,908
0.160108,918
0.161208,938
0.198759,013
0.1991009,113
0.2001,42110,534
0.4313010,564

Spread0.001Mid0.004

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.0031,0681,068
0.0025,0806,148
0.00115,84121,989

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.9971,0681,068
0.9985,0806,148
0.99915,84121,989

Spread0.001Mid0.996

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.9963,5173,517
0.9952,2495,766
0.9941,2326,998
0.9931,2038,201
0.9771008,301
0.9766078,908
0.840108,918
0.839208,938
0.802759,013
0.8011009,113
0.8001,42110,534
0.5693010,564

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
125-kooyanisqatsiYes4,491.72
fiterYes3,931.71
0xee67…67a6Yes2,382.34
xvspYes2,160.82
NadmiYes1,420.62
acc42020Yes1,249.28
BrianmYes979.8
ICountElectricSheepYes831.55
LornaPredictsYes770.52
BabyGrootYes607.05
cry.eth2Yes471.27
teikichihoriYes303.03
xzz8Yes298
planktonXDYes287.79
HerrieDavisYes272.67
MemeLoverOfficialYes200
BuyDipZYes200
2B9SYes197.16
calinbadeaYes190.19
0x06d898dd11C4c1ffcA1F91c2c47f6E379b4C9446-1776245316934Yes150

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
11:12:21BUYNo0.99710$9.97
16:04:42BUYNo0.99725$24.82
16:04:42BUYNo0.99713$12.76
16:04:42BUYNo0.99710$9.97
15:05:12SELLNo0.9966$5.59
10:51:56SELLYes0.0030$0.00
10:43:50BUYNo0.99710$9.97
10:43:50BUYNo0.99750$49.85
10:43:49BUYNo0.99753$52.84
10:43:49BUYNo0.99715$14.96
10:43:49BUYNo0.99710$9.97
13:37:00SELLYes0.00333$0.10
13:02:47SELLYes0.00350$0.15
06:53:45BUYNo0.99710$9.97
06:53:45BUYNo0.9975$4.99
06:53:45BUYNo0.9978$7.98
15:56:31BUYNo0.9976$5.68
15:56:31BUYNo0.9975$4.99
14:59:55SELLYes0.0030$0.00
14:54:22BUYNo0.9978$7.98
08:39:52BUYNo0.9976$5.98
08:39:52BUYNo0.99720$19.94
08:39:52BUYNo0.99710$9.97
08:39:51BUYNo0.9975$4.99
21:52:10SELLNo0.9966$5.62