PolyBot

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Will the SpaceX Starship launch from Florida by December 31, 2026?

Tick
0.01
Min order
5
Fees
0.04 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.00 · takers only
Ends
2027-01-01
Rewards
50 min size · 4.5¢ max spread

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.12. Unchanged over the period, from 0.12. Range 0.10 to 0.13. 169 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.122020
0.14020
0.4598118
0.4650168
0.485173
0.5716189
0.6825214
0.8230244
0.8350294
0.851,0001,294
0.94101,304
0.952,0203,324

Spread0.01Mid0.11

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.115959
0.10119178
0.088651,042
0.0661,048
0.052501,298
0.041,3882,686
0.031,3934,079
0.022,7406,818
0.016,41213,230

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.895959
0.90119178
0.928651,042
0.9461,048
0.952501,298
0.961,3882,686
0.971,3934,079
0.982,7406,818
0.996,41213,230

Spread0.01Mid0.89

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.882020
0.86020
0.5598118
0.5450168
0.525173
0.4316189
0.3225214
0.1830244
0.1750294
0.151,0001,294
0.06101,304
0.052,0203,324

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
1walrusYes1,153.92
IronEYes763.88
chartreuseverteYes759.77
GaditimaYes241.22
thursdaysYes159.88
dzyfwanYes100
b41eAd279375742D6C2A1A2239Bdce56376411fD.Yes97.6
AJSVYes95.95
wallet-account-testYes73
VonVonaghYes50
karachikingYes27.56
silverstudYes22.78
RandomBozoYes22.54
zhyfacaiYes21
a5533Yes20
jdkfbsbdskjbfjksqYes15
Mojito9Yes10.5
0x4b49…97a2Yes9.51
ironstormYes9.17
winexecutescaleYes5.09

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
22:25:42SELLNo0.8629$24.94
15:39:07SELLNo0.861$0.75
13:04:13BUYNo0.919999990216$15.00
10:13:13SELLYes0.076326100$7.63
06:15:03SELLYes0.082$0.14
06:15:00SELLYes0.0911$0.96
06:14:57SELLYes0.0911$0.96
06:14:55SELLYes0.0911$0.96
06:14:52SELLYes0.0911$0.96
06:09:55SELLYes0.094$0.39
06:09:52SELLYes0.0911$0.96
06:02:52SELLYes0.085$0.40
22:05:48SELLYes0.08784150$13.18
21:40:18BUYNo0.903014100$90.30
17:23:39BUYNo0.8943$38.61
12:39:06BUYNo0.8310$8.30
05:39:39SELLYes0.1110$1.10
06:24:30BUYNo0.87999996481$1.00
11:08:00BUYNo0.8499999836$5.00
06:23:52BUYNo0.84999944751$1.00
03:58:21BUYYes0.3195100$31.95
17:51:49SELLNo0.7436$26.64
17:51:49SELLNo0.77100$77.00
21:57:45SELLNo0.7517$12.40
23:00:55SELLNo0.696$3.80