RandomBozo
0x6ced078eb11f7f7479247b953e004574c00dd182
- Realised P&L
- $-0.77
- Volume
- $448.20
- Markets traded
- 6
- Open portfolio
- $11.13
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded6
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration63.4% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample3 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration51.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the SpaceX Starship launch from Florida by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.574 | 0.255 | $5.75 | −$7.18 |
| Will the SpaceX Starship launch from Florida by June 30, 2027? · No | 0.460 | 0.102 | $3.34 | −$11.66 |
| Will two SpaceX Starships dock together by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.260 | 0.026 | $2.04 | −$17.96 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.94at 0.630Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 launch by July 31?
- +$1.69at 0.632Did a valve or plumbing failure cause the Blue Origin New Glenn explosion?
- +$-5.40at 0.052AI data center in space by December 31, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-09 22:57 | AI data center in space by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.017 | $2.58 |
| 07-25 02:43 | AI data center in space by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.05 | $7.59 |
| 06-20 02:09 | Will the SpaceX Starship launch from Florida by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.5737331202 | $12.93 |
| 06-20 02:08 | Will the SpaceX Starship launch from Florida by June 30, 2027? | BUY | 0.4599999926 | $15.00 |
| 06-16 05:23 | Did a valve or plumbing failure cause the Blue Origin New Glenn explosion? | BUY | 0.6199999434 | $2.85 |
| 06-16 05:18 | Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 launch by July 31? | BUY | 0.6299999811 | $5.00 |
| 06-16 05:00 | Will two SpaceX Starships dock together by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.2599999935 | $20.00 |