chartreuseverte
0xfd076a684f0a2de61598b1de9a8ee2fe520cce86
- Realised P&L
- $11.7k
- Volume
- $220.1k
- Markets traded
- 82
- Open portfolio
- $14.0k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar5.3%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded82
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration57.4% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration23.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$6.5kat 0.740Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
- +$1.8kat 0.758US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
- +$930.20at 0.769Will Troy Jackson be the Maine Senate Democratic nominee on July 27?
- +$732.80at 0.828Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
- +$543.41at 0.752 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-30 19:52 | Will the chopsticks catch the Starship for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 15? | BUY | 0.51 | $43.35 |
| 10-30 05:59 | Will the chopsticks catch the Starship for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 15? | BUY | 0.55 | $66.55 |
| 10-29 17:09 | Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 15 launch by November 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.77 | $61.60 |
| 10-29 16:27 | Will the SpaceX Starship Flight Test 15 Super Heavy booster explode? | BUY | 0.52 | $59.80 |
| 10-29 14:42 | Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 15 launch by November 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.74 | $4.64 |
| 10-29 13:52 | Will two SpaceX Starships dock together by December 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.76 | $76.00 |
| 10-29 13:52 | Will two SpaceX Starships dock together by December 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.7018449634 | $202.26 |
| 10-28 01:06 | Will the SpaceX Starship launch from Florida by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.2984032272 | $35.51 |
| 10-28 01:02 | Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 15 launch by November 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.73 | $118.10 |
| 10-28 01:02 | Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 15 Super Heavy booster? | BUY | 0.6641176471 | $112.90 |
| 10-25 21:01 | Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.9896205073 | $1.2k |
| 10-25 19:45 | Will the SpaceX Starship launch from Florida by June 30, 2027? | BUY | 0.9298982085 | $45.68 |
| 10-25 19:41 | Will two SpaceX Starships dock together by December 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.6632200073 | $582.89 |
| 10-20 22:04 | Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by June 30, 2027? | SELL | 0.4105102822 | $160.90 |
| 10-20 22:04 | Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by February 28, 2027? | SELL | 0.6019745724 | $183.71 |