chartreuseverte
0xfd076a684f0a2de61598b1de9a8ee2fe520cce86
- Realised P&L
- $12.8k
- Volume
- $179.7k
- Markets traded
- 60
- Open portfolio
- $27.7k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar7.1%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded60
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration54.3% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample42 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)88.1%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration33.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$6.5kat 0.740Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
- +$1.8kat 0.758US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
- +$952.87at 0.764Will Troy Jackson be the Maine Senate Democratic nominee on July 27?
- +$732.79at 0.828Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
- +$332.23at 0.974US strikes Iran by January 23, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-02 00:22 | Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30? | BUY | 0.93 | $1.0k |
| 08-02 00:22 | Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | SELL | 0.91 | $1.0k |
| 08-02 00:04 | Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? | BUY | 0.78 | $335.52 |
| 08-01 09:57 | Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30? | BUY | 0.93 | $1.0k |
| 08-01 09:56 | Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | SELL | 0.91 | $819.00 |
| 08-01 09:44 | Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30? | BUY | 0.93 | $1.0k |
| 08-01 09:42 | Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | SELL | 0.91 | $1.0k |
| 08-01 09:24 | Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | SELL | 0.91 | $1.3k |
| 08-01 09:20 | Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | SELL | 0.91 | $1.7k |
| 08-01 07:04 | Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 Starship? | BUY | 0.74 | $148.00 |
| 08-01 07:03 | Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 launch by September 30? | BUY | 0.8255518946 | $150.33 |
| 07-31 06:24 | Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? | BUY | 0.76 | $501.60 |
| 07-31 06:23 | Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31? | SELL | 0.999 | $500.50 |
| 07-31 06:14 | Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31? | SELL | 0.999 | $92.91 |
| 07-31 06:12 | Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? | BUY | 0.75 | $154.57 |